WillScot Holdings Corp. (WSC)
NASDAQIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WSC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 24.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WSC — officer change
Dated 2026-06-08
The filing describes a change in the equity compensation plan, not a management or director movement.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if cost management and revenue growth are improving. Investors will look for signs of recovery after the recent earnings miss.
Watch forEarnings report shows operating income increases from $96.7M in Q1 2026.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows operating income fell to $96.7M in Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in sector performance may impact WillScot's growth outlook.
Watch forSector growth speeds up to over 8% year over year.
Also watch forSector growth slows down to under 4% year over year.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue shows ongoing problems in growth. This can hurt investor trust.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue reported below $548 million, which is the Q1 2026 revenue.
Less concerning ifIn Q2 2026, revenue is over $549 million. This shows growth.
Why it matters: Updates on cost management show how well the company keeps expenses in check.
Worry ifManagement reports a decrease in operating costs by 5% or more in Q2.
Less concerning ifManagement says operating costs are up or no change in Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$199 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $532 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,682 loss on $10,000 · 36.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key for the company's future. A positive trend would show management's strategies are working.
Supportive ifRevenue increases from $548.6M in Q1 2026.
Worry ifRevenue decreases further from $548.6M in Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Doing this plan well could save a lot of money. This helps profits and cash flow.
Watch forCost savings from the Network Optimization Plan are over $25 million each year.
Also watch forCost savings from the plan are less than $10 million annually.
Why it matters: More pending orders show strong future revenue and demand.
Supportive ifPending order book growth exceeds 10% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
Worry ifPending order book growth is less than 10% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow shows better financial health. This helps with ongoing investments.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is over $206 million in Q2 2026. This shows recovery.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is under $191 million in Q2 2026. This shows ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: An increase in large project orders indicates strong demand and supports revenue growth.
Supportive ifOrder book for large projects increases by more than 10% by Q3 2026.
Worry ifOrder book for large projects decreases or remains flat by Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if revenue growth is improving after a recent miss.
Watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: New project announcements show strong demand and growth for the company.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least two significant new projects in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo big project announcements in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is key to support growth and manage costs effectively.
Supportive ifCash flow generation improves by 10% or more compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifCash flow generation goes down or stays the same from last quarter.
Why it matters: Leasing revenue growth is key to WillScot's revenue strategy. Exceeding 5% growth shows strong demand.
Supportive ifQ3 leasing revenue grew more than 5% from last year.
Worry ifQ3 leasing revenue growth is below 2% year-over-year.
Why it matters: High capital expenditures support fleet growth and project demand. Staying above $350 million shows commitment.
Supportive ifNet CAPEX reported above $350 million for Q3.
Worry ifNet CAPEX reported below $300 million for Q3.
Why it matters: A better margin means lower costs and better operations. Over 38% shows good trends.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA margin is more than 38%.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA margin is less than 36%.
Why it matters: New project announcements can drive revenue growth and improve market confidence. A major project signals strength.
Supportive ifA new major project is announced. It is worth over $50 million.
Worry ifNo big project announcements were made in Q3.