Watsco (WSO)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$319.52+2.51%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put WSO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Trading Companies & Distributors: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Deliver earnings at or above consensus EPS of $12.63 for FY 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 3% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskWatsco's stable revenue growth must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 7% year over year in the latest quarter. The company missed its earnings target by 8.7%. It trades at 27 times earnings versus a 23 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The primary pillar is under pressure. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. WSO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering WSO (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for WSO in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare WSO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Trading Companies & Distributors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put WSO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain stable revenue growth and market share
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $319.52
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $319.52.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Granite adds substantial sales, while A2L normalization supports margins and stable revenue growth.
Earnings miss outweighing revenue growth is a credible near-term headwind, though details and persistence are unspecified.
Threatens: Maintain stable revenue growth and market share
Softer earnings may hinder stable revenue growth.
Advances: Maintain dividend payments
Dividend increase supports capital allocation objective.
