W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.82-1.80%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WTI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 30.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WTI — officer change
Dated 2026-08-07
Tracy W. Krohn: The amendment primarily pertains to Mr. Krohn's compensation and does not indicate a departure or change in role.
Why it matters: The outcome could lead to significant financial claims for the company.
Watch forManagement gave a good update. They say claims could be over $100 million.
Also watch forManagement says there is no progress in the lawsuits. The outcome looks negative.
Why it matters: Falling production may show problems in operations. This can affect revenue.
Worry ifNatural gas production was below 35,000 MMcf.
Less concerning ifNatural gas production stays above 35,000 MMcf.
Why it matters: Reaching the top of guidance shows strong performance.
Supportive ifNatural gas production reported at 39,180 MMcf or higher.
Worry ifNatural gas production falls below 35,380 MMcf.
Why it matters: Spending more than the budget may show financial issues or poor management.
Worry ifCapital spending was above $24.5 million.
Less concerning ifCapital spending is between $19.5 million and $24.5 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$292 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $841 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,016 loss on $10,000 · 40.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This budget affects future costs and liabilities. It shows how the company manages its assets.
Watch forPlugging & Abandonment budget stays within the range of $34.0 million to $42.4 million.
Also watch forThe Plugging & Abandonment budget is more than $42.4 million.
Why it matters: The dividend shows how well the company is doing with cash flow. A stable dividend helps investors feel confident.
Supportive ifThe company announces a second quarter 2026 dividend of $0.01 per share. This matches past dividends.
Worry ifThe company does not announce a dividend for Q2 2026. This may mean cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Good news in the lawsuits could bring big financial gains for W&T.
Supportive ifThere is a good ruling or settlement in the surety lawsuits.
Worry ifThere is a bad ruling or settlement in the surety lawsuits.
Why it matters: A good outcome may help WTI recover financially.
Supportive ifA settlement or ruling in favor of W&T regarding the surety lawsuits.
Worry ifA ruling against W&T or a delay in the litigation process.
Why it matters: The dividend payment shows W&T's commitment to returning cash to shareholders. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifThe $0.01 dividend payment is confirmed for August 26, 2026.
Worry ifThere may be a cut or suspension of the dividend.
Why it matters: The lawsuits could lead to significant financial claims, impacting the balance sheet.
Watch forA good ruling says claims against sureties are worth hundreds of millions.
Also watch forA bad ruling throws out claims. It also lowers possible recoveries.
Why it matters: Producing above this level shows stability. It helps grow revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 production volumes were above 35,000 MBoe/d.
Worry ifQ3 production volumes fall below 35,000 MBoe/d.
Why it matters: High lease costs may show problems with cost control. This can hurt profits.
Worry ifQ3 lease costs were above $80.6 million.
Less concerning ifLease costs are below $72.6 million.
Why it matters: A drop in Free Cash Flow could signal weakening financial health.
Worry ifFree Cash Flow reported below $20 million.
Less concerning ifFree Cash Flow remains above $31 million.