Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$16.90-7.85%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WTTR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 92.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 76.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers
WTTR — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-11-02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. Sustainability-Linked Credit Facility On January 24, 2025, SES Holdings, LLC (“SES Holdings”), the Company’s direct subsidiary, and Select LLC entered into a $550.0 million sustainability-linked senior secured credit facility (the “Sustainability-Linked Credit Facility”), by and among SES Holdings, as parent, Select LLC, as borrower, certain of SES Holdings’ subsidiaries, as guarantors, each of the lenders party thereto and Bank of America, N.A.…
Why it matters: The company raised its spending range to $250 million to $290 million as it pursues infrastructure growth. Spending above the range could add pressure to cash needs.
Worry ifA filing or earnings release says 2026 net capital spending is above $290 million.
Less concerning ifReported 2026 net capital spending is $290 million or less.
Why it matters: Management guided to 5% to 10% growth from Q2's $101.6 million. Results can test whether new contracts and higher volumes are adding sales.
Supportive ifQ3 Water Infrastructure revenue is at least $106.7 million, up 5% from Q2, with gross margin before D&A at 56% or higher.
Worry ifQ3 Water Infrastructure revenue is below $101.6 million, or its gross margin before D&A is below 56%.
Why it matters: The $900 million note plan includes money for the Pilot Water purchase. If the deal does not close by its outside date, some notes must be redeemed.
Watch forA company filing or release confirms the Pilot Water purchase closed by March 1, 2027.
Also watch forThe purchase ends or misses its outside date. The issuer announces redemption of notes above $450 million.
Why it matters: The notes add a large fixed interest cost. The first payment is due May 1, 2027, making cash use and debt levels worth tracking.
Worry ifThe May 1, 2027 filing shows the scheduled interest payment was made. It also reports cash and debt balances afterward.
Less concerning ifA filing reports a missed or delayed interest payment, or a default under the notes.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $460 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,381 loss on $10,000 · 23.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.