WidePoint Corp (WYY)
AMEXInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.92-4.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WYY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WYY — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-17
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, WidePoint Corporation (the “Company”) conducted a conference call to discuss its financial results for the six-months and quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the transcript of such conference call is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, on August 13, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the six-months and quarter ended June 30, 2026, whi…
Why it matters: Results from the DHS contract show success in a big growth plan.
Supportive ifManagement shares financial results. These results include revenue from the DHS contract.
Worry ifNo revenue reported from the DHS contract in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Normal results would show recovery and better performance. This is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifResults for H2 2026 show consistent revenue growth compared to H1.
Worry ifResults for H2 2026 show ongoing ups and downs or a drop.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops, it may hurt WidePoint's performance in a slowing sector.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above its median.
Why it matters: Revenue from the DHS contract shows that management can meet growth goals.
Supportive ifSaaS revenue from the DHS contract exceeds $10M in any quarter.
Worry ifSaaS revenue remains below $10M for consecutive quarters.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$332 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $768 loss on $10,000 · 7.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,520 loss on $10,000 · 55.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The DHS contract could drive significant revenue. Updates may impact growth expectations.
Supportive ifThe company says the DHS contract value is going up or it gets more contracts.
Worry ifThe company reports no new updates or lower contract values.
Why it matters: Management aims to normalize results in the second half of 2026. This will show if they are on track.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue goes up to at least $39M. This shows a recovery trend.
Worry ifQ3 revenue drops below $38M. This shows continued weakness.
Why it matters: Management aims for $40M-$45M in SaaS revenue. This will show if they can deliver on their targets.
Supportive ifQuarterly SaaS revenue is at or above $13M. This shows progress toward the target.
Worry ifSaaS revenue is below $10M. This suggests challenges in reaching the target.
Why it matters: Another strong earnings report would boost investor confidence. It shows the company is doing well.
Supportive ifQ3 earnings are better than what analysts expected and better than last quarter.
Worry ifQ3 earnings fall short of analyst expectations.
Why it matters: If results improve, it shows WidePoint is recovering. This is important for future growth.
Supportive ifQ3 results show key financial metrics are better than in past quarters.
Worry ifQ3 results show mixed performance. There are no signs of improvement.