XENERGY INC (XE)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$17.71-0.95%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -53.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
XE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, X-Energy, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or other…
Why it matters: Approval shows X-energy is making progress. It helps their project plans and is a big step.
Supportive ifNRC grants construction permit for Dow's advanced nuclear project in Seadrift, Texas.
Worry ifNRC denies or delays the construction permit for the Seadrift project.
Why it matters: New partnerships can enhance supply chain and support reactor deployment. Lack of new deals may signal challenges.
Watch forX-energy announces at least one new partnership to support the supply chain.
Also watch forNo new strategic partnerships are announced by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows improved efficiency and financial health. This is key for funding growth.
Supportive ifNet cash used in operations is less than in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet cash used in operations is higher or stays high. This raises concerns about sustainability.
Why it matters: Completion of TX-1 is key for fuel production and revenue growth. Delays could harm operations.
Supportive ifTX-1 construction milestones are on schedule. This leads to readiness by mid-2028.
Worry ifConstruction delays push completion past mid-2028. This affects fuel supply timelines.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$447 on $10,000 · ±4.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $957 loss on $10,000 · 9.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,156 loss on $10,000 · 61.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth would indicate successful execution of ARDP activities and market demand. Weak growth could raise concerns.
Supportive ifQ3 revenues and grant income grow year over year by more than 150%.
Worry ifQ3 revenues and grant income grow year over year by less than 100%.
Why it matters: Approval is key for X-energy's first commercial reactor. It affects their growth plans.
Supportive ifNRC issues a construction permit for the Seadrift project by Q1 2027.
Worry ifNRC delays the construction permit beyond Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth in Q2 shows continued demand for X-energy's services and products.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue exceeds $50 million, indicating strong growth from Q1.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $40 million. This may show issues with demand or execution.
Why it matters: Regulatory approvals are key for X-energy's growth. Progress shows trust in their technology.
Supportive ifNRC grants a Construction Permit for the Xe-100 project in Seadrift, Texas.
Worry ifDelays in approvals or bad feedback from the NRC.
Why it matters: If industrial sector revenue growth speeds up, it could benefit XENERGY and its peers. This would signal a healthier market.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the industrial sector exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth is under 5%. This shows weakness in the sector continues.
Why it matters: New partnerships can enhance X-energy's project pipeline and revenue potential. They are vital for deploying the Xe-100 reactors.
Supportive ifX-energy signs more deals with utilities for Xe-100 reactors.
Worry ifNo new utility partnerships are formed in the next six months.
Why it matters: Completing the TX-1 facility is key for X-energy's fuel production plans. It supports their growth in advanced nuclear energy.
Supportive ifTX-1 facility construction will finish on time by the first half of 2028.
Worry ifConstruction delays push completion past the first half of 2028.
Why it matters: Watching cash burn helps check financial health. High cash burn may show problems.
Worry ifNet cash used in operations is over $100 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifNet cash used in operations is under $100 million in Q3.