Xcel Energy (XEL)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$75.72-0.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XEL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $76 XEL trades at 2.0× p/b, in line with its 2.0× p/b peer median, and our $73 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $87–$101. Note: our $73 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($87–$101). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $91.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $37.01 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $59.06 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $75.10 | 2.0 | 38.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$87.00 – $101.00 (median $91.50) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-08-13
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $77.64 |
| 17.6 |
| 4.41 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $67.83 | 2.9 | 23.31 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $149.73 | 37.1 | 4.04 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $40.73 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $81.42 | 20.2 | 4.04 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $94.48 | 23.1 | 4.10 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $106.82 | 2.0 | 54.57 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $99.90 | 17.6 | 5.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $99.94 | 2.9 | 34.34 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $210.33 | 37.1 | 5.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $114.37 | 20.2 | 5.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $135.09 | 2.0 | 69.02 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $128.55 | 17.6 | 7.30 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $128.60 | 2.9 | 44.19 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $270.66 | 37.1 | 7.30 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $147.18 | 20.2 | 7.30 | Analyst | high |