Xerox Holdings Corp. (XRX)
NASDAQIndustrialsBusiness Equipment & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.11-5.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsBusiness Equipment & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XRX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 130.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 133.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
XRX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Xerox Holdings Corporation and Xerox Corporation (together, the "Registrants") issued a press release announcing their combined first quarter 2026 earnings. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. Exhibit 99.1 to this current Report contains certain financial measures that are considered “non-GAAP financial measures” as defined in the SEC rules. Exhibit 99.1 to thi…
Why it matters: Xerox has taken steps to cut debt, but reported long-term debt rose from year-end 2025. More debt relief would support its goal of reducing leverage.
Supportive ifA filing or results report shows less total debt than before. It may also show a completed debt exchange that cuts principal.
Worry ifThe next results show total debt at or above its prior reported level. No debt exchange or repayment is complete.
Why it matters: Xerox raised its gross savings target to at least $350 million. Reported savings near that level would show progress on the Lexmark deal.
Supportive ifXerox reports at least $350 million in gross Lexmark savings, or confirms the full target is on track.
Worry ifXerox lowers the $350 million target or reports a delay in reaching it.
Why it matters: Q3 revenue fell 4.7% year over year, even as Entry and Production equipment grew. Another decline would challenge the goal of stable revenue.
Watch forQ4 revenue falls by less than 4.7% year over year, or grows.
Also watch forQ4 revenue falls by 4.7% or more year over year.
Why it matters: Xerox cut its 2026 free cash flow range to $50 million–$100 million. Reaching the low end would show it preserved cash despite added pressure.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is at least $50 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below $50 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$283 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $804 loss on $10,000 · 8.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,934 loss on $10,000 · 69.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Xerox said the sale of its tariff claim could add $80 million to free cash flow guidance. Cash receipt and treatment will show whether that benefit came through.
Supportive ifXerox reports the $80 million from the tariff-claim sale in operating cash flow or full-year free cash flow.
Worry ifXerox reports the proceeds are not in operating cash flow, or cuts free cash flow guidance below $50 million.