Xerox Holdings Corp. (XRX)
NASDAQIndustrialsBusiness Equipment & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.32+0.61%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsBusiness Equipment & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XRX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 383.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 386.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
XRX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Xerox Holdings Corporation and Xerox Corporation (together, the "Registrants") issued a press release announcing their combined first quarter 2026 earnings. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. Exhibit 99.1 to this current Report contains certain financial measures that are considered “non-GAAP financial measures” as defined in the SEC rules. Exhibit 99.1 to thi…
Why it matters: Hitting this target is important for making more money in 2026. It shows success.
Supportive ifAdjusted operating income hits at least $450 million in 2026.
Worry ifOperating income is below $450 million. This shows issues with making money.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key to reaching the $7.5 billion target for 2026. A strong Q2 would show progress.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue is over $1.85 billion. This shows a good trend.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is under $1.85 billion. This shows ongoing revenue problems.
Why it matters: Growing revenue helps Xerox's recovery and key plans.
Supportive ifFull-year revenue exceeds $7.5 billion.
Worry ifFull-year revenue falls below $7.5 billion.
Why it matters: Positive free cash flow is crucial for meeting the annual target and improving financial health.
Supportive ifFree cash flow in Q3 reaches at least $60 million.
Worry ifFree cash flow in Q3 remains negative.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$295 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $776 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,937 loss on $10,000 · 69.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth confirms that Xerox is on track to achieve its 2026 revenue goal.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: More synergies show successful integration and savings from the deal.
Supportive ifSynergies from the Lexmark deal exceed $350 million.
Worry ifSynergies from the Lexmark deal fall below $350 million.
Why it matters: This shows progress toward the adjusted operating income goal for the full year.
Supportive ifAdjusted operating income in Q3 is $140 million or more.
Worry ifAdjusted operating income in Q3 is less than $100 million.
Why it matters: Confirming revenue guidance shows Xerox is on track with its growth goals for 2026.
Supportive ifManagement says Q3 revenue will be above $7.5 billion.
Worry ifManagement says Q3 revenue will be below $7.5 billion.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial health and helps growth.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reaches about $250 million.
Worry ifFree cash flow remains negative or falls below $250 million.