22ND CENTURY GROUP INC (XXII)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.04-16.36%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XXII
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -82.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -34.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
XXII — capital allocation — Material
Dated 2026-11-03
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. On November 3, 2026, 22nd Century Group, Inc. (the “Company”) will file a Certificate of Amendment (the “Certificate”) pursuant to Nevada Revised Statutes (“NRS”) Section 78.209 with the Secretary of State of the State of Nevada authorizing a 1-for-58 reverse stock split of the Company’s issued and outstanding shares of common stock (the “Reverse Stock Split”). Reason for the Reverse Stock Split The Reverse Stock Split was effected solely t…
Why it matters: More stores can widen access to VLN products. The company had about 2,000 outlets and set a year-end target of about 5,000.
Supportive ifA company update reports about 5,000 retail outlets by year-end 2026. New outlets carry VLN products.
Worry ifThe company reports fewer than 5,000 outlets at year-end, or shows no new stores carrying VLN products.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$467 on $10,000 · ±4.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,982 loss on $10,000 · 19.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,999 loss on $10,000 · 100.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.