Zebra Technologies (ZBRA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$362.74+1.47%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ZBRA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers
ZBRA — officer change
Dated 2026-05-26
The filing describes the approval of a new long-term incentive plan.
Why it matters: Good integration can boost profits and growth. This affects long-term value.
Watch forManagement says they are seeing big benefits from the Elo Touch integration.
Also watch forManagement says there are delays or problems with the Elo Touch integration.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth may show a slowdown in tech, affecting Zebra.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median for the first time in over a year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above the median, showing continued strength.
Why it matters: This growth shows if Zebra's core business is thriving, especially after a strong Q1 performance.
Watch forOrganic net sales growth reported above 4.3% in Q2 2026.
Also watch forOrganic net sales growth reported below 4.3% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows Zebra can make cash. It helps support growth plans.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported at $225 million or more in Q2.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $200 million in Q2.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$169 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $398 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,827 loss on $10,000 · 38.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong cash flow. It helps with investments and share buybacks.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported greater than $1 billion for the full year 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $1 billion for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: A drop below 15% may show profit problems. This can change how the market sees it.
Worry ifNet income margin reported below 15% for any quarter.
Less concerning ifNet income margin remains at or above 15% for the quarter.
Why it matters: This margin level is important for showing profits and how well the company runs.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin was at or above 22%.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin was less than 22%.
Why it matters: This report will provide updates on financial performance and cash flow progress.
Watch forEarnings report shows strong revenue growth and free cash flow improvement.
Also watch forEarnings report reveals declining revenue or cash flow issues.
Why it matters: Updates on share buybacks show a promise to give value back to shareholders. This can help the stock price.
Supportive ifLook for news on share buybacks of $1 billion or more in the next quarters.
Worry ifNo large share buybacks were announced after the $1 billion approval.
Why it matters: This growth range shows strong demand. It supports management's positive outlook for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth reported between 17% and 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth reported below 17% year over year.
Why it matters: This shows good cash flow management. It shows a commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases reported at or above $1 billion for the full year 2026.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases reported below $1 billion for the full year 2026.