Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (ZETA)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$29.47-7.27%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ZETA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 29.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers
ZETA — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-27
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 24, 2026, Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (the “Company”), Zeta Global Corp. (the “Borrower”) and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a five-year $1.0 billion senior secured credit facility (the “Credit Agreement”) with Bank of America, N.A., as a lender and administrative agent, and certain other lenders party thereto, comprised of senior secured term A loans in an aggregate principal amount of $250.0 million (the “Term Loan”) and a $750.0…
Why it matters: Zeta raised its cash flow range and reported 73% growth in Q2 free cash flow. A miss would challenge that progress.
Worry if2026 free cash flow is below $254.8 million, the low end of the August guidance range.
Less concerning if2026 free cash flow is at least $254.8 million and within or above the $254.8 million to $255.8 million range.
Why it matters: Zeta raised its Q3 revenue range to $469 million to $472 million. A miss would break the recent run of strong results.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $469 million, the low end of the August guidance range.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $469 million and within or above the $469 million to $472 million range.
Why it matters: Zeta raised its full-year revenue range after a 44% year-over-year gain in Q2. A shortfall would weaken the growth story.
Worry if2026 revenue is below $1.811 billion, the low end of the August guidance range.
Less concerning if2026 revenue reaches at least $1.811 billion and stays within or above the $1.811 billion to $1.824 billion range.
Why it matters: Zeta reported a GAAP profit in Q2 and kept its full-year profit goal. A later loss would put that goal at risk.
Worry ifA later 2026 quarter reports a GAAP net loss, or full-year 2026 GAAP net income is below zero.
Less concerning ifEach reported 2026 quarter has positive GAAP net income and full-year net income is above zero.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$196 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $619 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,037 loss on $10,000 · 40.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.