ZipRecruiter, Inc. (ZIP)
NYSECommunication ServicesStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.22+0.72%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ZIP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ZIP — CFO transition
Dated 2026-02-25
Chief Financial Officer — Timothy Yarbrough: Mr. Yarbrough resigned to pursue another opportunity.
Why it matters: Carmen Chan's leadership may improve financial plans and operations. This could help in the future.
Watch forCarmen Chan starts a new financial plan. It improves financial numbers in six months.
Also watch forCarmen Chan took over. There is no clear improvement in the financial numbers.
Why it matters: Better margins mean the company is managing costs well. This helps make more money.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin improves to at least 14% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays below 12% in Q3.
Why it matters: More debt repurchases could make the balance sheet stronger. This gives more financial options.
Supportive ifThe company plans to repurchase over $100 million in debt next quarter.
Worry ifNo new debt repurchases planned for the next quarter.
Why it matters: The announced buyback could support the stock price. It shows confidence in the company's value.
Supportive ifStock price goes up after the buyback announcement on June 25, 2026.
Worry ifStock price goes down after the buyback announcement. This shows low investor confidence.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$275 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $794 loss on $10,000 · 7.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,922 loss on $10,000 · 69.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Buying back the debt would make ZipRecruiter's balance sheet stronger. It would also give them more financial options.
Supportive ifConfirmation that the debt repurchase is completed by June 30, 2026.
Worry ifFailure to complete the debt repurchase by June 30, 2026.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding Q1 revenue would show progress toward flat revenue for 2026. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue reported at or above $107.5 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue reported below $107.5 million.
Why it matters: Reducing debt gives the company more financial freedom. This helps support growth plans.
Supportive ifMore news about debt buybacks or cuts beyond the current $295 million.
Worry ifNo further debt repurchases or an increase in overall debt levels.
Why it matters: The buyback could increase shareholder value. It shows management's confidence in the stock.
Supportive ifThere is news of completed buybacks or new buyback plans.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the buyback plan, suggesting lack of confidence.
Why it matters: This would show that growth is still strong. It helps management keep revenue steady in 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth guidance of 5% or more year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance is less than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: This would show progress in raising adjusted EBITDA margins by 5 percentage points in 2026.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is 14% or more.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is less than 12%.