Zumiez, Inc. (ZUMZ)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.03+1.86%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ZUMZ
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $18 the market pays 22× p/e — above the 16× p/e peer median but in line with its own 22× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $20 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $32.73 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $39.67 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $18.77 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $50.58 | 20.6 | 2.45 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 197% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 64.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.37/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
| $13.56 |
| 16.3 |
| 0.83 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $19.85 | 0.4 | 54.58 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $15.32 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $18.27 | 22.0 | 0.83 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $15.31 | 16.3 | 0.94 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $20.36 | 16.3 | 1.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $18.63 | 0.4 | 51.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $27.43 | 22.0 | 1.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $16.76 | 16.3 | 1.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $15.34 | 0.4 | 42.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $22.58 | 22.0 | 1.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |