Zumiez, Inc. (ZUMZ)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.03+1.86%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ZUMZ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers
ZUMZ — CFO transition
Dated 2026-07-01
Chief Financial Officer — Christopher C. Work: Mr. Christopher C. Work resigned as Chief Financial Officer.
Why it matters: If sales keep falling, it shows less demand from customers. This could hurt growth.
Worry ifComparable sales for Q2 show a decline worse than the current -0.1%.
Less concerning ifComparable sales for Q2 show growth year over year.
Why it matters: The CFO transition could affect financial strategy and investor confidence. This is a key leadership change.
Watch forThe new CFO shares a plan. It aims to stabilize or improve finances.
Also watch forThe change may lead to more financial problems. It could also hurt earnings.
Why it matters: August sales trends will show if people are buying more before back-to-school shopping.
Supportive ifComparable sales for August show an increase of more than 2% year over year.
Worry ifComparable sales for August decline more than 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Stabilizing or improving sales in North America shows strong consumer demand. This can help growth.
Supportive ifNorth American sales need to grow or stay above the current decline of -1.5%.
Worry ifNorth American sales decline more from the current -1.5%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$143 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $461 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,347 loss on $10,000 · 43.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: North American sales trends are crucial for Zumiez's growth. A decline could signal deeper issues.
Worry ifComparable sales in North America show a decrease of 1.5% or worse.
Less concerning ifComparable sales in North America are flat or go up each year.
Why it matters: Management wants to grow revenue. Any update can show how well they will do.
Supportive ifManagement raises revenue growth guidance above what it is now.
Worry ifManagement lowers revenue growth guidance or keeps it the same.
Why it matters: Better EPS guidance would show a way to make more money and cut costs.
Supportive ifEPS guidance improves to a loss of less than $0.08 per share for Q2.
Worry ifEPS guidance worsens to a loss greater than $0.23 per share for Q2.
Why it matters: The new CFO may change how the company handles its finances. This could affect how investors feel.
Worry ifThe company keeps doing well financially, even with a new CFO.
Less concerning ifThe company does worse financially after the CFO leaves.
Why it matters: News about the share buyback plan can show management's trust in the stock.
Supportive ifThere is news of big share buybacks under the $40 million plan.
Worry ifNo share repurchases occur or the program is suspended.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans may change financial strategy. This comes after a recent departure.
Watch forThe new CFO announced plans that support revenue growth.
Also watch forThe new CFO did not announce a clear strategy. This creates uncertainty.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback could signal management's confidence in the company. It may also affect share price.
Supportive ifManagement speeds up the share buyback program.
Worry ifManagement stops or cuts the share buyback program.
Why it matters: This guidance shows how well Zumiez is managing sales amid consumer pressure. It also reflects their ability to grow revenue.
Supportive ifNet sales guidance for Q2 is confirmed within the range of $210 to $215 million.
Worry ifGuidance is below $210 million. This shows weaker sales expectations.