Zevia PBC (ZVIA)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.370.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ZVIA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ZVIA — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-05
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: This report will show if Zevia is on track to meet its $170M-$175M revenue goal for 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 net sales were over $45 million. This shows strong growth.
Worry ifQ2 2026 net sales were below $43 million. This suggests slower growth.
Why it matters: Higher aluminum costs can hurt margins. Watching this helps check efficiency and cost control.
Worry ifIf aluminum costs stabilize or go down, it helps margins.
Less concerning ifIf aluminum costs rise a lot, it will hurt margins more.
Why it matters: Updates will show if cost-saving steps reduce selling costs.
Watch forSelling expenses reported down by at least 5% compared to Q2 2026.
Also watch forSelling expenses are the same or higher than Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The new CEO's plans may change how the company works in the future.
Watch forPositive statements from the new CEO about strategy and growth plans.
Also watch forBad comments or doubts about the company's plans.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$215 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $761 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,861 loss on $10,000 · 58.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A clear plan from the new CEO can guide the company's direction and reassure investors. It can impact future growth and stability.
Watch forA new plan shows how to grow and manage costs.
Also watch forNo clear strategic direction provided by the new CEO.
Why it matters: This loss range is crucial for tracking progress toward the full-year adjusted EBITDA target of $2M to $4M.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA loss was $3 million or less.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA loss was more than $3.5 million.
Why it matters: This range is key to meeting the full-year target of $170M to $175M in sales. It shows if growth momentum continues.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 net sales reported at or above $44 million.
Worry ifQ3 2026 net sales reported below $44 million.
Why it matters: Better margins show good pricing and cost control. These are key for making money.
Supportive ifGross profit margin reported above 49% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross profit margin reported below 48.9% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Lower selling costs show good cost control. This is part of the Productivity Initiative.
Supportive ifSelling costs were less than $8.1 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifSelling costs were more than $8.1 million in Q3 2026.