Snapshot of weekly initial and continued claims, labor market stress, and near-term risks.
Period: Oct 31, 2026 · Source: US Department of Labor (DOL) · Frequency: Weekly
Primary trend view for initial and continued jobless claims using 4-week moving averages.
| Driver | Direction (13-wk trend) | Level | WoW | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insured unemployment rate (SA) | Neutral | 1.1 | +0 | -15.38% |
| Initial jobless claims, 4-week moving average (SA) | Neutral | 194,750 | -2,250 | -13.64% |
| Continued claims, 4-week moving average (SA) | Improving | 1,709,500 | +0 | -12.42% |
Direction reflects the 13-week trend (with a one-week lag), so it can differ from the latest week-over-week change shown alongside it.
Forward-looking signals from weekly claims consensus and model scorecard.