ABM Industries, Inc. (ABM)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$47.05-0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ABM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -40.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers
ABM — dividend update
Dated 2026-06-05
Other Events. On June 5, 2026, the Company announced that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share, payable August 3, 2026 to stockholders of record on July 2, 2026.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it could show cash flow problems. This may hurt dividends and investment ability.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $20 million.
Less concerning ifFree cash flow reported above $25 million.
Why it matters: Good news about this acquisition would show it is integrating well. It would also show growth potential in the semiconductor market.
Supportive ifManagement says WGNSTAR is helping revenue and profit margins.
Worry ifManagement says there are issues with the WGNSTAR acquisition.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this growth target signals strong demand and effective execution. It would support management's goal of 4% to 5% total revenue growth for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 total revenue growth is 5% or higher compared to Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 total revenue growth is below 4%, indicating weak demand.
Why it matters: A better operating margin means the company controls costs well. It also shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating margin reported at 7.8% or higher in Q3.
Worry ifOperating margin was below 7.5% in Q3.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this EPS target would signal progress towards the annual EPS guidance of $3.85 to $4.15.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS for Q3 reported at $1.00 or higher.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS for Q3 reported below $0.90.
Why it matters: A decline may show problems in operations. This can affect overall profits.
Worry ifThe segment operating margin was 7.8% or more.
Less concerning ifThe segment operating margin was less than 7.5%.
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows the company is controlling costs. It also shows confidence in earnings despite recent problems.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS for Q3 is reported between $3.85 and $4.15.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS is below $3.85. This suggests there may be earnings problems.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows the company is doing well. It also shows they care about their investors. A change could shake investor trust.
Watch forThe dividend remains at $0.29 per share for the next quarter.
Also watch forThe dividend is cut or reduced from $0.29 per share.
Why it matters: This would indicate that ABM is struggling to meet its growth targets, impacting investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 organic revenue growth was below 3%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic revenue growth was above 4%.
Why it matters: Falling below this range means profit problems. It may cause negative feelings.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS was below $3.85.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EPS was above $4.15.
Why it matters: A strong increase shows better cash use and efficiency. This boosts investor trust.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported above $30 million for Q3.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $20 million for Q3.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$75 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $299 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,200 loss on $10,000 · 22.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.