Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.61-1.44%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ABX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ABX — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-02
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On June 29, 2026 (the “Amendment Date”), Abacus Global Management, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into the First Amendment to Credit Agreement, dated as of June 29, 2026, by and among the Company, the lenders thereto, and GLAS USA LLC as Administrative Agent and as Collateral Agent (the “Amendment”) to that certain Credit Agreement dated as of December 10, 2024 (the “Credit Agreement,” and as amended by the Amendment, the “Amended Credit Agreement”), b…
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it may show a slowdown in the sector. This could hurt Abacus's growth.
Worry ifThe financial sector's revenue grew by 15% or more compared to last year.
Less concerning ifThe financial sector's revenue grew by less than 15% compared to last year.
Why it matters: This platform helps with product development. It can make financial planning services better.
Watch forThe company says it had a successful launch. It also shares key milestones for the LifeARC platform.
Also watch forNo updates or delays in the development of the LifeARC platform.
Why it matters: This partnership could enhance product offerings and client solutions, driving growth. It is a key strategic initiative.
Supportive ifManning & Napier announced the successful launch of the LifeARC platform.
Worry ifDelay or lack of updates on the partnership rollout.
Why it matters: This EPS target is key for assessing overall financial health. It shows management's expectations for annual earnings.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 EPS reported at or above $1.00.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 EPS reported below $1.00.
Why it matters: This partnership can improve product offerings. It can also help client solutions and drive growth.
Watch forThe alliance leads to new product launches or increased client referrals.
Also watch forThe partnership fails to produce new products or client engagement.
Why it matters: Doing well shows that management believes in the company's value and finances.
Supportive ifThey announced that they completed stock buybacks worth $100 million.
Worry ifNo significant share repurchases reported by the end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential slowdown in the sector. It could impact the company's growth narrative.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median of 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains at or above the median of 15% year over year.
Why it matters: This buyback shows confidence in the company's future and can support the stock price.
Supportive ifThe company begins the share repurchase program on August 17, 2026.
Worry ifThe program is delayed or canceled. This shows a lack of confidence.
Why it matters: Achieving this target shows strong financial health and growth. It confirms management's guidance.
Supportive ifAdjusted net income reported within the range of $100M to $106M for 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted net income reported below $100M for 2026.
Why it matters: This growth shows people want longevity products. It backs the company's plan.
Supportive ifThe longevity income fund has about $1 billion in assets.
Worry ifThe longevity income fund has less than $1 billion in assets.
Why it matters: This range shows if Abacus can keep growing earnings. It reflects management's confidence in their business model.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 adjusted EPS reported within the range of $0.26 to $0.28.
Worry ifQ3 2026 adjusted EPS falls below $0.26.
Why it matters: A stable turnover rate shows strong sales. It means the company turns policies into cash.
Supportive ifThe annualized turnover ratio is at least 2.0x.
Worry ifThe annual turnover ratio is less than 1.5 times.
Why it matters: This reflects investor confidence and the company's growth potential. It shows strong demand for Abacus's products.
Supportive ifIn 2026, total capital raised is over $500 million.
Worry ifTotal capital raised in 2026 is below $500 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$154 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $582 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,900 loss on $10,000 · 29.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.