Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.05+4.99%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ABX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
ABX — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 5, 2026, Abacus Global Management, Inc. (the “Company”) issued press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of that press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. Also on November 5, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the declaration of a cash dividend, as described below in
Why it matters: This tests the next step in the 2026 earnings plan. Q2 adjusted EPS was $0.28.
Supportive ifOn the November 5 earnings release, Q3 adjusted EPS is at or above $0.26.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS is below $0.26, the low end of the company’s range.
Why it matters: The full-year range calls for growth. Q2 adjusted net income reached $27.1 million, above the high end of its guidance range.
Supportive ifThe company keeps its $100M–$106M 2026 adjusted net income range and reports results in line with that path.
Worry ifThe company cuts the $100M low end, or reported results make that floor unattainable.
Why it matters: Cash sales test the value of policies held on the balance sheet. Q2 turnover was 2.0x, and realized gain was 25%.
Worry ifQ3 annualized turnover is at least 1.5x and average realized gain is at least 20%.
Less concerning ifQ3 turnover falls below 1.5x or average realized gain falls below 20%.
Why it matters: Fund growth can add fee income and boost demand for Abacus-originated policies. First-half inflows topped the $500 million goal.
Supportive ifThe next results report shows added fund capital after the $544.2 million raised in the first half.
Worry ifThe next results report shows no net new fund capital or a fall in reported fund capital.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$153 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $582 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,558 loss on $10,000 · 35.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.