Archer Aviation, Inc. (ACHR)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.71-0.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACHR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -50.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 55 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ACHR — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-09-04
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing The disclosure set forth in
Why it matters: This acquisition is important for Archer. It helps grow revenue and skills. It adds a defense business that makes over $200 million each year.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close by the end of 2026. This is if there are no regulatory delays.
Worry ifRegulatory approvals are not given. This could delay or block the acquisition.
Why it matters: Starting operations in the eVTOL Integration Pilot Program is key. It helps Archer grow revenue and enter the market.
Supportive ifArcher begins eVTOL operations in U.S. cities as planned.
Worry ifOperations do not start on time. This shows there may be delays.
Why it matters: A bigger loss would show problems in getting to positive EBITDA by the end of 2026.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA loss reported worse than $200 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA loss was less than $170 million.
Why it matters: If industrial sector growth speeds up, it could help Archer's business. This would improve its market position.
Supportive if3-year revenue growth in the industrial sector exceeds 5% again.
Worry ifSector revenue growth continues to slow or stays below 5%.
Why it matters: Progress in production capacity is key to meeting future demand and growth.
Supportive ifNew factories or more production will be announced.
Worry ifNo news or delays in production plans.
Why it matters: Winning government contracts would help Archer's hybrid aircraft plans and its finances.
Supportive ifThey will announce winning a phased government award for the hybrid aircraft program.
Worry ifNo news about government awards or contracts for the hybrid aircraft program.
Why it matters: Winning government contracts is important for Archer. It helps them grow in the defense sector and proves their technology.
Supportive ifArcher secures its first government award for the hybrid aircraft.
Worry ifNo awards are won, indicating challenges in the defense market.
Why it matters: Getting certification is very important for Archer. It helps them start their air taxi service.
Supportive ifArcher completes Phase 4 of the FAA Type Certification for Midnight.
Worry ifThere are delays in certification. This affects when commercial operations can start.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insight into financial health and operational progress. A miss could raise concerns.
Watch forEarnings results show revenue growth or reduced losses compared to Q1.
Also watch forEarnings results show continued losses or revenue decline.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$266 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $736 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,745 loss on $10,000 · 67.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.