Archer Aviation, Inc. (ACHR)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.87-6.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACHR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -62.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
ACHR — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-09-04
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing The disclosure set forth in
Why it matters: Flights with passengers or in real service would show progress toward US air taxi operations. Archer reported test flights, not eIPP service.
Supportive ifArcher confirms Midnight has begun eIPP operations in at least one US city by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifArcher says no eIPP operations began by December 31, 2026, or reports a later start date.
Why it matters: A government award would give Archer a funded path to build its hybrid aircraft. Management said awards were a goal for 2026.
Supportive ifArcher or Anduril names a government award for the hybrid aircraft and states its scope.
Worry ifArcher reports no award by December 31, 2026, or says the award process has been delayed.
Why it matters: The deal adds Insitu's stated $200M-plus annual revenue and autonomy tools. A delay or failed close would block those gains.
Supportive ifAn Archer filing confirms the Wisk, SkyGrid, and Insitu deal has closed by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifArcher reports the deal is delayed past December 31, 2026, or will not close.
Why it matters: Phase 4 is where Archer must show that Midnight meets FAA airworthiness rules. A clear step forward would build on its reported Phase 3 close.
Supportive ifArcher reports a completed Phase 4 FAA test or analysis step for Midnight.
Worry ifArcher reports that Phase 4 tests have stalled, or that a key FAA test was delayed or failed.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$266 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $693 loss on $10,000 · 6.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,029 loss on $10,000 · 60.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.