Albertsons (ACI)
NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-11-05
$13.24-3.64%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ACI — Chair transition
Dated 2026-09-09
Director — Margaret Whitman: The filing discloses the appointment of a new director and Executive Chair, which is a board composition change rather than the departure of a sitting executive.
Why it matters: Albertsons paused its 2026 outlook during a broad business review. Its Q4 plan will show the targets for costs and growth.
Watch forOn the Q4 earnings call, Albertsons shares short- and long-term financial plans. They include clear cost goals and a path to sales growth.
Also watch forThe Q4 update is delayed, or the new plan lacks clear financial goals and timing.
Why it matters: Digital sales rose 11%, but delivery and handling costs helped lower gross margin. The next results can show if digital growth is paying off.
Watch forDigital sales grow year over year, while gross margin rate excluding fuel and LIFO does not fall year over year.
Also watch forDigital sales growth slows below 11%, and gross margin rate excluding fuel and LIFO falls further year over year.
Why it matters: Identical sales fell 0.8% in both reported 2026 quarters. A return to growth would show that customer value efforts are gaining traction.
Watch forA reported quarter shows sales growth above 0%.
Also watch forIdentical sales fall 0.8% or more year over year for another quarter.
Why it matters: Albertsons withdrew its outlook after cutting its EBITDA range from $3.85–$3.925 billion. A result below that range would point to deeper pressure.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA is below $3.85 billion, the low end of the prior range.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA reaches at least $3.85 billion, the low end of the prior range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$184 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $330 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,089 loss on $10,000 · 40.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Albertsons cut divisions from 11 to four and centralized center-store buying. Yet selling costs rose as a share of sales in both 2026 quarters.
Watch forSelling and administrative costs fall below 25.4% of sales, the prior-year rate cited for both 2026 quarters.
Also watch forSelling and administrative costs stay at or above 25.6% of sales in the next reported quarter.