Albertsons (ACI)
NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.55-0.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACI
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 ACI trades at 6.2× p/e, below its 17× p/e peer median. Our $18 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $10–$19. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $12.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $74.85 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $53.92 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $9.12 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$10.00 – $19.00 (median $12.50) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-07-27
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $14.55 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $66.63 | 11.7 | 7.24 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $20.88 | 15.9 | 1.31 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $28.95 | 15.8 | 1.83 | ntm analyst | high |
| residual income | 12M | $10.57 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $13.46 | 6.7 | 2.01 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $33.18 | 16.8 | 1.97 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $27.25 | 15.9 | 1.71 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $33.67 | 15.8 | 2.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $14.28 | 6.7 | 2.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $32.54 | 15.9 | 2.05 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $33.80 | 15.8 | 2.14 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $14.33 | 6.7 | 2.14 | Analyst | high |