Acacia Research Corp. (ACTG)
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.54+0.67%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACTG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 53.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -22.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 75.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ACTG — officer change
Dated 2026-02-06
Director — Geoff Ribar: Mr. Ribar does not intend to stand for reelection due to personal reasons and time commitments.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector grows again, it could help Acacia. The sector is maturing.
Watch forSector revenue growth was above 5% year over year. This shows a good trend.
Also watch forSector revenue growth was below 5% year over year. This confirms the slowdown.
Why it matters: If revenue goes above this, it shows strong performance and growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $114.6 million. This shows strong growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $100 million, suggesting a slowdown.
Why it matters: This revenue level shows that the energy operations are strong.
Supportive ifBenchmark Energy had revenue over $20 million in Q3.
Worry ifBenchmark Energy revenue drops below $18 million in Q3.
Why it matters: A strong cash position helps support growth and stability.
Supportive ifCash and securities were over $330 million.
Worry ifCash position drops below $320 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$91 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $317 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,531 loss on $10,000 · 15.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Acacia as part of the industrial sector.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again. This shows the sector is recovering.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down. This shows there are still challenges.
Why it matters: New acquisitions would show management wants to grow and use its capital well.
Supportive ifThere is news of a new acquisition that fits Acacia's growth plans.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions have been announced. This suggests a lack of growth plans.
Why it matters: Higher net income means better profits and helps growth plans. Low income raises worries.
Supportive ifQ2 net income was above -$15.7M. This shows a move toward making money.
Worry ifQ2 net income was worse than -$15.7M. This shows ongoing financial problems.
Why it matters: Deflecto's cost savings from closing facilities can help it make more money.
Supportive ifDeflecto saved more than $1 million in Q3. This was due to the facility closings.
Worry ifDeflecto fails to achieve any cost savings or reports increased costs in Q3.
Why it matters: A strong cash position helps with growth plans and buying other companies. This affects long-term value.
Watch forCash position increases to over $330 million post-Q2 earnings.
Also watch forCash position drops below $329.9 million after Q2 earnings.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows that management is doing well with their growth plan.
Supportive ifTotal revenue in Q2 2026 exceeds $54.2 million.
Worry ifTotal revenue in Q2 2026 falls below $54.2 million.
Why it matters: This shows good cost management and efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA was over $17.3 million for Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $15 million for Q3.