Ameren (AEE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
$112.81-0.24%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AEE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers
AEE — government funding
Dated 2026-09-28
Other Events. On September 28, 2026, Union Electric Company, doing business as Ameren Missouri (“Ameren Missouri”), filed its non-binding integrated resource plan (“2026 IRP”) with the Missouri Public Service Commission (“MoPSC”). The 2026 IRP includes Ameren Missouri’s preferred plan for reliably meeting customers’ projected long-term energy needs in a least cost manner. The 2026 IRP reflects forecasted energy demand growth assumptions for the preferred plan and high load growth scenarios ra…
Why it matters: Ameren tied its long-term earnings growth plan to $31.8 billion of investment through 2030. Delays or lower spending could weaken that plan.
Watch forAmeren keeps the $31.8 billion investment plan and reports project progress. This supports about 10.6% yearly rate base growth through 2030.
Also watch forAmeren cuts or delays the investment plan, or lowers its forecast for rate base growth below about 10.6% per year.
Why it matters: Ameren reaffirmed this 2026 EPS range in Q2. Q3 results will show whether it stays on track.
Watch forOn the November 5, 2026 earnings call, Ameren keeps its $5.25–$5.45 EPS range and reports year-to-date EPS that supports that range.
Also watch forAmeren cuts its 2026 EPS range below $5.25, or reports results that lead it to withdraw the range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$76 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $185 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,616 loss on $10,000 · 16.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.