Atlas Energy Solutions, Inc. (AESI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$5.32-20.95%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
Research Workspace
Put AESI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve $50M Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 73% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAESI's power growth engine has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue of $267.8M beat expectations in the latest quarter. However, the company missed its earnings target by 38.5%. It trades at 0.6x sales versus a 0.8x peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast suggests. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 76%. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 54% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-05. AESI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering AESI (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AESI in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AESI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-05. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Equipment & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AESI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Achieve approximately $50 million Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026
Q4 guidance below 2026 target; timeline aligns with capacity goals.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-05. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $5.32
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $5.32.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Improve operating costs and profitability
EPS miss signals cost pressure despite revenue beat.
Improve cash from operating activities
Bridge financing secures substantial liquidity but adds debt; operating-cash-flow implications remain unclear.
Earnings outlook cut may hinder growth objectives.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
AI power deals align with growth objectives and enhance partnerships.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
AI deals align with power growth strategy.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
Secures deals that leverage partnership for power growth.
Advances: Leverage Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar for power growth
Contract enhances partnership with Caterpillar for power growth.
