Atlas Energy Solutions, Inc. (AESI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.46+2.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AESI
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Grow power generation capacity with focus on behind-the-meter contracts and leveraging Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management expects to deploy 180 to 200 MWs by end of 2026 and signed a 120 MW behind-the-meter contract expected online Q1 2027. The company is progressing with power capacity growth, delivering on announced contracts and framework agreements, indicating a trajectory of delivering against this priority.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated weak grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1735).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“We expect 180 to 200 MWs deployed by the end of this year.”
“Executed Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar covering 1.4 GW incremental power assets through 2030.”
“Targeting approximately 500 MWs of power generation capacity deployed in 2027.”
Target Adjusted EBITDA of about $50 million for Q2 2026 driven by higher sales volume, margin improvements, and increased power contribution.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA improved from $28.4 million in 2026-Q1 to $49.5 million in 2026-Q2, matching guidance of approximately $50 million. The trajectory shows delivering on the Adjusted EBITDA target for Q2 2026.
“Adjusted EBITDA of $49.5 million for Q2 2026.”
“Adjusted EBITDA of $28.4 million, in-line with previously announced range of $26-30 million.”
“Adjusted EBITDA of $36.7 million for Q4 2025.”
Utilize the Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar to expand power generation assets and secure large-scale power contracts.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar covers 1.4 GW of incremental power assets through 2030, with management actively evaluating over 2 GW of opportunities. The company is leveraging this agreement to expand power generation, showing a trajectory of progressing power growth initiatives.
“Since signing the Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar, opportunities have grown in scale, duration and scope.”
“Executed Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar covering 1.4 GW of incremental power generation assets through 2030.”
“Actively evaluating a robust power opportunity set representing more than 2 GW of potential opportunities.”
Focus on improving cash flow from operations to support business sustainability and growth investments.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities was $3.7 million in 2025-Q4, improved to $19.0 million in 2026-Q1, then declined to a slight use of $0.553 million in 2026-Q2. The trajectory shows mixed progress with recent decline, indicating limited progress on improving operating cash flow.
“Net cash used in operating activities of $0.553 million.”
“Net cash provided by operating activities of $18.996 million.”
“Net cash provided by operating activities of $3.707 million.”
Focus on reducing net losses and improving profitability through operational efficiencies and growth in higher-margin segments.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Net loss improved from $47.3 million in 2026-Q1 to $25.1 million in 2026-Q2, with Adjusted EBITDA increasing from $28.4 million to $49.5 million. Management highlighted cost improvements and margin flow-through, indicating delivering progress on managing losses and improving profitability.
“Net loss of $25.1 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $49.5 million.”
“Net loss of $47.3 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $28.4 million.”
“Net loss of $22.2 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $36.7 million.”
Over the trailing year it converted 8.29x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated robust grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 38% for the rest of the cohort, n=996).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
18 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=807).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.