AudioEye, Inc. (AEYE)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.06-6.44%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AEYE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 51.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 60 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AEYE — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-09-18
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet of a Registrant. The disclosure required by this Item is included in Item 1.01, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: This tests the higher profit outlook and the move toward more profit from each dollar of sales.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 adjusted EBITDA is at least $4.2M, within or above the $4.2M–$4.4M range.
Worry ifQ4 2026 adjusted EBITDA is below $4.2M, or the company cuts its range before results.
Why it matters: That is the low end of the Q4 revenue range. It would test the guided 20% annualized sequential growth.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is at least $11.4M, within or above the $11.4M–$11.6M range.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is below $11.4M, or management cuts the range before results.
Why it matters: ARR grew 12% year over year in Q3 and is a key measure of recurring sales. A slowdown would weaken the growth trend.
Watch forThe next reported ARR growth rate is above 10% year over year and ARR rises from $43.3M.
Also watch forThe next reported ARR growth rate is below 10% year over year, or ARR falls below $43.3M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$267 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $678 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,258 loss on $10,000 · 62.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.