Alamos Gold Inc (AGI)
NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.97-1.91%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Review the full earnings evidenceWhy it matters: The earnings report will show how Alamos Gold is performing. It will cover financial and operational details.
Watch forEarnings per share are higher than what analysts expected. This shows strong performance.
Also watch forEarnings per share are lower than what analysts expected. This suggests weak performance.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the materials sector. This could help how investors feel about Alamos Gold.
Supportive ifMaterials sector shows positive revenue growth year over year for the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue growth in the materials sector is still negative or getting worse.
Why it matters: CPI data affects inflation expectations. This can change gold prices. Gold price changes affect Alamos Gold's revenue.
Watch forCPI goes up year over year. This suggests higher inflation and possibly higher gold prices.
Also watch forCPI goes down or stays the same. This shows lower inflation and possibly lower gold prices.
Why it matters: PPI data can signal changes in production costs. This affects margins for gold mining companies like Alamos Gold.
Watch forPPI goes up, which means rising production costs. This may pressure profit margins.
Also watch forPPI goes down, suggesting lower production costs. This could improve profit margins.
Why it matters: GDP growth impacts demand for gold and mining operations. Strong GDP could support Alamos Gold's performance.
Supportive ifGDP growth rate is revised upwards from the previous estimate.
Worry ifGDP growth rate is revised downwards or remains unchanged.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a shift in the declining materials sector. This could improve investor confidence in Alamos Gold.
Supportive ifAlamos Gold reports positive revenue growth for the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative for the next quarter.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the materials sector. This could help Alamos Gold.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being near -1 percent for three years.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative or worsens.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show economic weakness. This could lower demand for gold and affect Alamos Gold.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims rise above 300,000.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims stay below 250,000.
Why it matters: The Producer Price Index affects input costs for Alamos Gold. Changes can impact margins.
Watch forPPI increases more than 0.5% month over month, indicating rising costs.
Also watch forPPI decreases or stays flat, suggesting stable or lower input costs.
Why it matters: The Consumer Price Index affects the economy. It can change gold prices.
Watch forCPI shows an increase above 0.3% month over month, signaling inflation.
Also watch forIf the CPI goes down or stays the same, it means prices are stable.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision impacts interest rates and economic outlook. This can affect gold demand.
Watch forWhen the FOMC raises rates, it shows a tighter money policy. This may lower gold demand.
Also watch forFOMC keeps rates unchanged or lowers them, which may boost gold demand.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$220 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $569 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,966 loss on $10,000 · 49.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.