AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.44-15.29%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -24.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
AIRS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 10, 2026 , AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed "filed" for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934…
Why it matters: Same-center cases grew about 1% in Q1 and Q2. Faster growth would show that the recent stall is easing.
Supportive ifQ3 same-center case volume grows more than 1% year over year. Same-center sales are also above zero.
Worry ifQ3 same-center case volume falls year over year. Or, same-center sales turn negative.
Why it matters: AirSculpt says the partnership broadens its services and patient base. Reported cases would show whether patients are taking up the new treatment.
Supportive ifAirSculpt says AlloClae treatments are available. It gives the number of completed cases or related sales.
Worry ifAirSculpt reports a launch delay, ends the partnership, or reports no AlloClae cases after launch.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell 3% year over year. A further drop would put the $151 million low end of 2026 guidance under pressure.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $38 million, or management cuts the 2026 revenue range below $151 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $38.5 million and management keeps 2026 revenue guidance at $151 million to $157 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$327 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,180 loss on $10,000 · 11.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,885 loss on $10,000 · 88.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.