Akamai Technologies (AKAM)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $114.37. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $114 AKAM trades at 18× p/e, below its 51× p/e peer median. Our $143 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $120–$195. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $170.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $95.41 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $86.84 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $68.70 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$120.00 – $195.00 (median $170.00) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-05-14
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 69% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 7.5 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.91/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $345.15 |
| 50.9 |
| 6.78 |
| Mgmt |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $194.01 | 25.4 | 8.64 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $171.98 | 33.7 | 5.10 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $332.51 | 50.9 | 6.53 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $209.60 | 7.4 | 28.44 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $80.97 | 12.4 | 6.53 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $48.28 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $116.23 | 17.8 | 6.53 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $336.98 | 50.9 | 6.61 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $429.50 | 50.9 | 8.43 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $178.57 | 33.7 | 5.29 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $392.34 | 50.9 | 7.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $264.18 | 7.4 | 35.85 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $95.54 | 12.4 | 7.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $137.14 | 17.8 | 7.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $496.90 | 50.9 | 9.75 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $183.09 | 33.7 | 5.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $431.59 | 50.9 | 8.47 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $290.61 | 7.4 | 39.43 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $105.09 | 12.4 | 8.47 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $150.86 | 17.8 | 8.47 | Analyst | high |