Albemarle Corporation (ALB)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$98.37+3.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALB — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-30
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 29, 2026, Albemarle Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a credit agreement (the “2026 Credit Agreement”) among the Company, the lenders party thereto (the “Lenders”), and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent. The 2026 Credit Agreement provides for an unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of up to $1.5 billion. The facility matures on October 29, 2031. Borrowings under the 2026 Credit Agreement bear interest…
Why it matters: ALB cut its capital spending outlook and reported lower first-half spending. Full-year spending tests this cost-control plan.
Watch forFull-year 2026 capital spending is about $500 million, near the stated outlook.
Also watch forALB raises its 2026 capital spending outlook above $500 million. Or it reports spending above that level.
Why it matters: ALB reports on November 4. Q2 sales and earnings rose, but the 2026 targets still need delivery.
Watch forQ3 results keep the company on pace for 2026 sales of $4.1–$4.3 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $0.9–$1.0 billion.
Also watch forQ3 results or updated guidance put either 2026 target below its stated range.
Why it matters: Energy Storage earnings rose with lithium prices. Sales volume also depends on Wodgina output and the Talison CGP3 ramp.
Watch forALB reports 2026 Energy Storage sales volume of 225–235 kilotons LCE. The Talison CGP3 fire has a limited impact.
Also watch forEnergy Storage sales volume falls below 225 kilotons LCE. Or ALB reports a bigger CGP3 impact than its outlook allowed.
Why it matters: ALB reported $100 million in year-to-date savings by Q2. The year-end result will show whether it reaches its stated range.
Supportive ifALB reports $100–$150 million in cost savings and productivity gains for 2026.
Worry ifALB reports less than $100 million in 2026 improvements or says the target was not met.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$162 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $554 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,817 loss on $10,000 · 58.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.