Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.61+2.95%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALGM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $37 ALGM trades at 61× p/e, in line with its 49× p/e peer median — but our blended $30 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well below the analyst range. Analysts target $48–$67. Note: our $30 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($48–$67). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $54.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $5.18 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $8.33 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $10.28 | 22.3 | 0.49 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$48.00 – $67.00 (median $53.50) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-07-31
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 5222% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 34.2 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.05/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $21.92 |
| 46.6 |
| 0.47 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $31.21 | 25.3 | 1.24 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $41.67 | 8.3 | 5.04 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $12.20 | 20.3 | 0.60 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $5.37 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $31.34 | 49.4 | 0.64 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $20.29 | 46.6 | 0.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $41.27 | 25.3 | 1.63 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $69.96 | 8.3 | 8.46 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $18.55 | 20.3 | 0.91 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $19.27 | 46.6 | 0.41 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $54.59 | 25.3 | 2.16 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $92.53 | 8.3 | 11.19 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $24.53 | 20.3 | 1.21 | Analyst | medium |