Alight, Inc. (ALIT)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.92+0.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALIT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -87.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 79.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALIT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-04
The company modified equity awards to lower performance-vesting hurdles for certain executives.
Why it matters: The effectiveness of the split will show if it helps maintain NYSE listing standards.
Watch forShare price stays above NYSE listing rules after the split.
Also watch forShare price falls below NYSE listing requirements after the split.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial strategy and reporting. This can affect investor trust.
Watch forPositive financial updates or guidance from new CFO Stephen A. Lasher.
Also watch forNegative financial updates or lack of clarity from new CFO Stephen A. Lasher.
Why it matters: This range shows how well the company can reach its yearly revenue goal.
Watch forQ3 revenue reported within the range of $469 million to $479 million.
Also watch forQ3 revenue reported below $469 million.
Why it matters: This guidance shows what management expects for profits and how the company runs.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA was between $55 million and $61 million.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA was less than $55 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$450 on $10,000 · ±4.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $813 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,681 loss on $10,000 · 86.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Doing well will help keep the NYSE listing and make share prices more stable.
Supportive ifThe reverse stock split is executed as planned on June 30, 2026.
Worry ifThe reverse stock split is delayed or not executed.
Why it matters: The reverse stock split aims to keep NYSE listing standards and may change how investors see it.
Watch forShare price stabilizes or increases after the reverse stock split on July 1, 2026.
Also watch forShare price drops a lot after the reverse stock split.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal is key for the company's money management. It helps their financial health.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported at or above $250 million for the full year.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $250 million for the full year.