Alight, Inc. (ALIT)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.82+0.55%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALIT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -60.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -9.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 51.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALIT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-14
Regulation FD Disclosure. Alight, Inc. (the “Company” or “Alight”) has been engaged in confidential discussions with certain lenders (collectively, the “Lenders”) and their financial and legal advisers regarding potential refinancing and/or extension opportunities (a “Potential Transaction”) with respect to the Company’s credit agreement, dated as of May 1, 2017. A definitive agreement with terms that are satisfactory to Alight has not yet been reached, and at this time the Company has electe…
Why it matters: Alight set Q3 revenue guidance of $469 million to $479 million. Revenue fell year over year in both Q1 and Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $469 million, or Alight cuts its full-year revenue range below $2,078 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $469 million and the full-year range stays at $2,078 million to $2,098 million.
Why it matters: Management said Q1 renewals were favorable and added new recurring revenue. But Q2 revenue fell from a year earlier.
Supportive ifAlight reports favorable renewals and more annual recurring revenue. Quarterly revenue is flat or higher than a year earlier.
Worry ifAlight reports weaker renewals or less annual recurring revenue. Quarterly revenue keeps falling from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Alight reported $101 million of free cash flow through June and has a $250 million goal. Cash generation may help meet debt needs.
Supportive ifAlight reports full-year free cash flow of at least $250 million.
Worry ifAlight reports full-year free cash flow below $250 million or cuts its stated goal.
Why it matters: Alight is discussing a refinance or extension with lenders, but has no final deal. Net debt was $1.78 billion in June.
Watch forAlight announces a signed credit deal to extend or refinance its debt. It shares the terms.
Also watch forAlight reports no signed deal, or says talks ended without extending or refinancing its debt.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$379 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,054 loss on $10,000 · 10.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,503 loss on $10,000 · 85.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.