Alta Equipment Group, Inc. (ALTG)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.10+6.46%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALTG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 90.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALTG — director transition
Dated 2026-08-06
Director — David Turner: Mr. David Turner was elected to join the Board of Directors, filling a newly created director position.
Why it matters: Updates on M&A activities may show growth chances and changes in the company.
Watch forAnnouncement of a big M&A deal or partnership.
Also watch forNo updates or progress on M&A activities in the coming months.
Why it matters: Operating cash flow is key for financial health. A decline signals potential issues.
Worry ifOperating cash flow was below $20 million for any quarter in 2026.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow remains above $20 million for each quarter in 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in rental sales shows better fleet use and demand recovery.
Supportive ifRental equipment sales grew over 40% from last year.
Worry ifRental equipment sales grew less than 40% from last year.
Why it matters: This figure is crucial to stay on track for the full-year guidance of $167.5M to $182.5M.
Supportive ifQ2 Adjusted EBITDA is at or above $41.5 million.
Worry ifQ2 Adjusted EBITDA is less than $41.5 million.
Why it matters: Meeting the Adjusted EBITDA guidance shows the company can manage costs and grow. It shows good financial health and efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is between $167.5 million and $177.5 million for 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $167.5 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial stability. It allows for investment in growth and value.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow exceeds $26 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating cash flow drops below $20 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better fleet management can improve cash flow and profits soon.
Supportive ifManagement says usage rates are higher or rental costs are lower.
Worry ifManagement says there are still problems with rental fleet use.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Alta's performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to over 5% each year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down to under 5% each year.
Why it matters: A higher rental fleet value shows better use and demand. This can increase revenues.
Supportive ifRental fleet gross book value increases from $519.2 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifRental fleet gross book value continues to decline year over year.
Why it matters: More bookings in Material Handling show a rise in customer demand. This can raise revenues.
Supportive ifBookings in Material Handling increase by 12.3% year to date.
Worry ifMaterial Handling bookings drop or stay the same compared to earlier periods.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$291 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $586 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,111 loss on $10,000 · 51.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.