AmpliTech Group Inc (AMPG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.37-1.46%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMPG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -62.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 99.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 162.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AMPG — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, AmpliTech Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its unaudited results for the second quarter of 2026. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the Company’s press release dated August 13, 2026, attached as an exhibit hereto, on this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), o…
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how revenue is growing and the company's financial health. Investors will respond to how performance matches expectations.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth of at least 20% year-over-year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue drop or misses expectations by a lot.
Why it matters: Management's focus on the second half could impact revenue. Clarity here is important.
Watch forManagement provides a clear plan to boost revenue in the second half.
Also watch forNo updates or a vague plan about revenue growth for the second half.
Why it matters: The result of this lawsuit could affect the company's money and image. It is important to watch for updates.
Worry ifA settlement or good ruling in the lawsuit may lower possible financial risks.
Less concerning ifA ruling against the company may raise financial risks or costs.
Why it matters: This will show if the company can meet its full-year revenue target of $50M.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue shows a big increase from Q1. This means strong sales.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is flat or down. This shows trouble in hitting the revenue target.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$524 on $10,000 · ±5.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $975 loss on $10,000 · 9.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,660 loss on $10,000 · 66.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss means there are still problems. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifAnother earnings report shows a loss greater than the previous quarter's miss.
Less concerning ifEarnings report shows a profit or smaller loss than the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Improvement is needed after the recent earnings miss. This will help regain investor trust.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings show a smaller loss or profit compared to Q1.
Worry ifQ2 earnings miss expectations again. This shows deeper problems.
Why it matters: Progress here could increase revenue. It also shows the company's focus is working.
Supportive ifManagement says they hit key sales goals for 5G ORAN technology.
Worry ifThere are no big updates or delays in selling 5G ORAN technology.
Why it matters: Earnings will show how revenue is changing. It will also show how management is doing.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth and positive guidance for the second half.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows falling revenue. It also gives bad news for the future.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below the median, it signals a potential slowdown. This could worsen the company's weak status in a growing sector.
Worry ifAmpliTech's revenue growth reported below the sector median growth rate.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the sector median.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth would help reach the goal of $50 million in 2026. It shows the company is growing its business well.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported above $12.11 million, which is 50% growth from Q2's $8.07 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was below $12.11 million. This shows slower growth and possible challenges.
Why it matters: Better margins mean the company is working more efficiently. This helps with its investment plans.
Supportive ifGross margin was above 27.9% in Q3. This shows better operational efficiency.
Worry ifGross margin fell below 27.9%. This suggests ongoing problems with managing costs.