AmpliTech Group Inc (AMPG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.20-11.29%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMPG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -64.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -6.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 57.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers
AMPG — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, AmpliTech Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its unaudited results for the second quarter of 2026. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the Company’s press release dated August 13, 2026, attached as an exhibit hereto, on this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), o…
Why it matters: Titan was late on payments. The amendment cut the purchase price by $1 million, while AmpliTech kept its rights and claims.
Watch forAmpliTech reports that Titan or its affiliate paid what was due under the amended $7 million deal.
Also watch forA filing reports another missed payment, a new delay, or a dispute over the rest of the deal terms.
Why it matters: AmpliTech is still losing money, while spending more on research and sales. Lower losses would show progress toward positive EBITDA in 2027.
Supportive ifQ3 net loss is less than $3.09 million, and reported costs show lower losses from operations.
Worry ifQ3 net loss is $3.09 million or more, or management delays its 2027 positive EBITDA goal.
Why it matters: Backlog shipments can lift revenue, but management says timing depends on production and customer needs. Some orders may slip or change.
Watch forQ3 results show ORAN shipments and revenue tied to the stated $17 million backlog, with no reported order cuts.
Also watch forThe company reports canceled or cut orders, or shipment delays. These push more revenue into 2027.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was $8.07 million, but management said customer shipments may shift into 2027. Q3 results test the 2026 growth goal.
Watch forOn November 13, Q3 results show revenue of at least $12.5 million, keeping the company on pace for $50 million in 2026.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $12.5 million, or management says more orders moved into 2027.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$276 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $811 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,567 loss on $10,000 · 75.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 margin fell to 27.9% from 48.0% in Q1. Management says product and shipment mix can move margins.
Watch forQ3 gross margin is above 27.9%, the Q2 level.
Also watch forQ3 gross margin is below 27.9%, extending the drop from Q1.