Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$7.52-11.22%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMPX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -40.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 78.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 119.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 17 industry peers
AMPX — government funding
Dated 2026-09-25
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On September 23, 2026, Amprius Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an Other Transaction Agreement (the “Agreement”) with the United States of America (the “U.S. Government”) for a project (“Project acCELLerate”) awarded to the Company under the authority of 10 U.S.C. § 4022. Pursuant to the Agreement, the Company and the U.S. Government agreed to exert reasonable efforts to develop and execute Project acCELLerate, which is designed to es…
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin rose to 27%, while the full-year goal is at least 28%. Falling short would weaken the margin progress seen so far.
Supportive ifA later 2026 report shows gross margin at or above 28%, with the full-year goal kept at that level.
Worry ifA later report shows gross margin below 27%, or management cuts its full-year goal below 28%.
Why it matters: Amprius began installing about 40% of the pilot line tools. Cell output would show that the expansion is moving beyond installation.
Supportive ifAmprius reports that the expanded Fremont line has started making cells.
Worry ifA company update reports that tool installation has stalled or the line's start has been delayed.
Why it matters: The multi-year deal has a stated revenue opportunity above $100 million. A start on time would show that the new customer deal is turning into sales.
Supportive ifAmprius reports first cell shipments or revenue under the Stark Future deal in 2027.
Worry ifAmprius reports that Stark Future shipments are delayed past 2027 or that the deal has ended.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$299 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $893 loss on $10,000 · 8.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,718 loss on $10,000 · 67.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.