American Superconductor Corp. (AMSC)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$23.98-8.68%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMSC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 24.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AMSC — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-04
of this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “ Exchange Act ”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: Management said it was aiming for better gross margins in the second half. The next results can show whether that change began.
Supportive ifA later quarterly report shows gross margin above Q1 FY26. Management points to gains in the second half.
Worry ifA later report shows gross margin flat or below Q1 FY26. Or management drops its second-half improvement goal.
Why it matters: AMSC warns that some orders may not become sales. The report can show whether its large backlog is turning into revenue.
Worry ifThe November 4 report shows Q2 revenue was below $85 million. Backlog was above $300 million in the prior quarter.
Less concerning ifThe November 4 report shows Q2 revenue above $85 million and confirms sales from the backlog.
Why it matters: AMSC set this revenue goal for the quarter ended September 30. Meeting it would extend recent growth.
Supportive ifThe November 4 results report Q2 revenue above $85 million.
Worry ifThe November 4 results report Q2 revenue at or below $85 million.
Why it matters: Backlog rose from about $280 million at fiscal year-end to more than $300 million in Q1. A decline could weaken the sales outlook.
Watch forA later report puts 12-month backlog above $300 million and shows growth from the prior report.
Also watch forA later report puts 12-month backlog below $300 million or reports a decline from the prior report.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$249 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $766 loss on $10,000 · 7.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,964 loss on $10,000 · 59.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q1 non-GAAP income was $7.6 million, below the $8 million goal. The Q2 result tests whether earnings reach that mark.
Supportive ifThe November 4 results report Q2 non-GAAP net income above $8 million.
Worry ifThe November 4 results report Q2 non-GAAP net income at or below $8 million.