American Superconductor Corp. (AMSC)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$29.55+1.86%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMSC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 51.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AMSC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
of this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “ Exchange Act ”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a recovery in the industrial sector. This would be positive for AMSC's outlook.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the industrial sector rises above 7% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A backlog increase shows strong demand and future revenue potential. It indicates business strength.
Supportive ifBacklog grew more than 40% from last year.
Worry ifBacklog growth was less than 40% from last year.
Why it matters: Earnings per share above this level would show strong profitability and investor confidence in the company. It reflects growth.
Supportive ifEPS reported above $0.07.
Worry ifEPS reported below $0.07.
Why it matters: A growing backlog signals strong future revenue potential. It reflects ongoing demand.
Supportive ifBacklog was over $300 million.
Worry ifBacklog was under $300 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$260 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $749 loss on $10,000 · 7.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,108 loss on $10,000 · 61.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this target shows strong growth momentum. It confirms management's positive outlook.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported above $85 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $85 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows good profits and efficient operations. It shows management's growth plan.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP net income was over $8 million.
Worry ifNon-GAAP net income was under $8 million.
Why it matters: Missing earnings might show bigger issues with how the company runs and market conditions.
Worry ifManagement confirms an earnings miss during the Q2 earnings call.
Less concerning ifManagement says there was a positive surprise in earnings for Q2.