AutoNation (AN)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$212.36+2.50%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $212 AN trades at 10× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $259 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $202–$260. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $246.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $174.89 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $363.10 | 15.3 | 23.78 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $666.67 | 0.8 | 812.09 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$202.00 – $260.00 (median $247.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-08-11
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $524.05 |
| 25.8 |
| 20.34 |
| TTM |
| high |
| residual income | 12M | $127.83 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $193.12 | 9.5 | 20.34 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $319.43 | 15.1 | 21.13 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $399.84 | 15.3 | 26.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $737.17 | 0.8 | 897.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $674.79 | 25.8 | 26.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $248.68 | 9.5 | 26.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $426.87 | 15.3 | 27.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $787.00 | 0.8 | 958.66 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $720.41 | 25.8 | 27.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $265.49 | 9.5 | 27.96 | Analyst | medium |