Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Alpha Pro Tech Ltd (APT)
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.48-4.53%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.38 → 1.38 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for APT yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Progress on expanding housewrap category and new growth | Management aims to expand the housewrap category and find new growth opportunities. | Intact | Progress score declines or no improvement in growth initiatives | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on growth in specific segments. The current thesis state is intact, driven by recent strong financial performance despite challenges in the broader sector.
The market currently prices APT as cheap compared to its peers, reflecting a significant expectations gap. This suggests that investors are not fully factoring in the potential for future earnings growth amidst the company's recent performance.
Management is executing well on priorities, particularly in the Building Supply and Disposable Protective Apparel segments, which are showing strong growth. However, there is a high probability of a near-term earnings miss, which could impact overall performance.
The thesis hinges on APT's ability to maintain growth in its key segments and the performance of sector bellwethers like CSW and AZZ. Any changes in guidance or performance from these companies could significantly affect APT's trajectory.
Overall, APT shows promise with its recent performance but must navigate elevated risks and sector challenges in the coming years. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Alpha Pro Tech Ltd's published investment case. The stated target is >=4.7% YoY revenue growth. |
| Intact |
| YoY revenue growth falls below 4.7% next year |
Revenue growth: 12.01% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=4.7% YoY revenue growth. Reported actuals cannot certify a consensus target without an explicit period and accounting-basis binding. Aug 7, 202612.008157 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Valuation multiple expands toward peer median PE | A supporting condition in Alpha Pro Tech Ltd's published investment case. The stated target is PE expands above 20x. | Broken | PE remains below 14x or compresses further | P/E (TTM): 14.11x As of 2026-11-04; trailing twelve months. The target timing and basis require a separate assessment. Nov 4, 202614.1101 ratio · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.38 → $1.38 · observed estimates
$0.10B → $0.10B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-11 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.38 | $99,690,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Monthly analyst history is unavailable.
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.