Alpha Pro Tech Ltd (APT)
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.36+1.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsIndustrial - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · APT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 43.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 90.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Refunds can boost profits and cash flow. This can help the company's financial health.
Supportive ifThe company said it got tariff refunds. It also had good news in legal matters.
Worry ifThere are no updates or there is bad news about tariff refunds.
Why it matters: Improvement in housing starts could boost sales in the Building Supply segment.
Supportive ifSingle-family housing starts increase by more than 5% month over month.
Worry ifHousing starts continue to decline or remain flat.
Why it matters: Housewrap sales are growing. This shows the company is gaining market share despite housing issues.
Supportive ifHousewrap sales increase year over year by more than 13.1%.
Worry ifHousewrap sales decline or grow less than 13.1% year over year.
Why it matters: Tariff refunds can greatly affect financial results. Understanding this can change cash flow and profits.
Watch forMore IEEPA tariff refunds have been announced or are expected.
Also watch forThere are no updates or bad news about the IEEPA tariff refunds.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$131 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $417 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,571 loss on $10,000 · 15.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sales growth in this area is important for management's goal to expand it. Strong sales show the company can handle market challenges.
Supportive ifBuilding Supply segment sales increase by more than 5.5% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifBuilding Supply segment sales decline or grow less than 5.5% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: This segment is a strong growth driver. Continued growth signals effective management and market demand.
Supportive ifSales of Disposable Protective Apparel rise by over 24.9% from last year in Q3.
Worry ifDisposable Protective Apparel sales grow less than 24.9% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: New products can drive future sales growth. Delays or lack of updates may signal challenges in product development.
Watch forAnnouncement of new roofing and flashing products introduced by the end of Q3.
Also watch forNo updates or announcements regarding new roofing and flashing products by the end of Q3.
Why it matters: Housing starts impact the Building Supply segment. A rebound could boost sales, while continued declines may hurt performance.
Watch forSingle-family housing starts increase by more than 4.2% compared to the prior year.
Also watch forSingle-family housing starts drop by more than 4.2% compared to last year.