Archrock, Inc. (AROC)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$28.61-9.03%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AROC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AROC — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-09-28
Chief Accounting Officer — Donna A. Henderson: The filing discloses the planned retirement of the Chief Accounting Officer, which is an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of a top executive like the CEO or CFO.
Why it matters: The new CFO took office in July. His first results update can show how the handoff affects guidance and financial reporting.
Watch forThe November 3 earnings release keeps the 2026 EBITDA guide at $865M–$885M and reports no delay in results.
Also watch forThe company cuts the guide below $865M or delays its earnings release.
Why it matters: Archrock narrowed its 2026 EBITDA range in August. The November 3 results can show if costs stay within that range.
Watch forOn November 3, Archrock keeps its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guide at $865M–$885M or raises it.
Also watch forOn November 3, Archrock cuts its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guide below $865M.
Why it matters: High use supports contract revenue and margins. A fall would weaken the near-term growth case.
Watch forQuarter-end fleet use stays at or above 94% and contract operations revenue grows year over year.
Also watch forAt quarter-end, fleet use falls below 94%, or contract operations revenue falls from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Lower service work and parts sales cut this business's revenue. A rebound would ease a drag on results.
Watch forQuarterly revenue from aftermarket services tops $42.0M, and its gross margin rate stays at or above 24%.
Also watch forQuarterly aftermarket services revenue is $42.0M or less, or its gross margin rate falls below 24%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$121 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $351 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,232 loss on $10,000 · 32.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.