Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. (ASX)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$37.51-3.94%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
56.27 → 65.05 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for ASX yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Earnings per share growth to meet analyst estimates | Earnings per share are rising, with estimates up from $1.08 in 2026 to $1.99 in 2027. | Intact | EPS growth falls below 40% in FY27 | Diluted EPS: TWD 11.84 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=80% EPS growth from FY26 to FY27. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 29, 202611.84 TWD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a technology-sector exposure, but the snapshot does not provide enough company-specific evidence to classify it as a durable compounder, turnaround, or another business type. The long-term thesis is insufficiently established, and the risk label has recently moved from moderate to elevated.
The snapshot contains no valuation measure or evidence about market expectations, so whether ASX is cheap, fair, or expensive versus peers cannot be assessed. It also provides no basis for judging what expectations are already reflected in the valuation.
The snapshot gives too little information on management execution or recent company results to establish a multi-year fundamental direction. Near term, the stated miss probability is low, but ASX missed its most recent quarter and industry peers have also been missing, which adds a cautionary signal.
Near term, Fed rate cuts or stabilization in major technology names could support the sector backdrop. A material slowdown in GDP growth from 2.1% to below 2% would be a headwind for growth-sensitive technology businesses. Company-specific evidence is too thin to identify further swing factors.
For the next 1 to 3 years, the thesis is insufficiently supported by the available company evidence, while the risk label is elevated. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The LEAP product ramp shows strong innovation. |
| Intact |
| LEAP ramp delays or market rejection reported |
LEAP target >$4B vs sustained ramp ASE raised 2026 LEAP revenue target to >$4B and guided Q4 revenue growth of 6-8% QoQ, reinforcing the product ramp thesis. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Total revenue growth to meet analyst estimates | A primary condition in ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd.'s published investment case. The stated target is >=20% YoY revenue growth from FY26 to FY27. | Intact | YoY revenue growth falls below 10% in FY27 | Revenue growth: 44.76% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=20% YoY revenue growth from FY26 to FY27. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 29, 202644.764159 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.95 → $65.05 · observed estimates
$960.13B → $1100.49B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.95 | $960,132,498,870 | 1 / 16 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.95 | $960,132,498,870 | 1 / 16 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.95 | $960,132,498,870 | 1 / 16 |
| 2026-07-27 | $51.00 | $967,760,188,396 | 1 / 8 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.95 | $960,132,498,870 | 1 / 16 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.95 | $963,712,940,110 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.95 | $963,712,940,110 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.84 | $1,020,505,812,840 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.84 | $1,020,505,812,840 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.84 | $1,036,137,695,190 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.84 | $1,036,137,695,190 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.84 | $1,036,137,695,190 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.84 | $1,039,439,429,960 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.84 | $1,039,439,429,960 | 1 / 17 |
| 2026-08-07 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.84 | $1,039,061,045,460 | 1 / 18 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.84 | $1,039,061,045,460 | 1 / 18 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.84 | $1,039,061,045,460 | 1 / 18 |
| 2026-08-11 | $1.84 | $1,039,061,045,460 | 1 / 18 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.84 | $1,039,061,045,460 | 1 / 18 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.84 | $1,039,061,045,460 | 1 / 18 |
| 2026-08-14 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-15 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-16 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-17 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-18 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-19 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-20 | $53.96 | $1,012,741,397,506 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-21 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-22 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-23 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-24 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-25 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-26 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-27 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-28 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-30 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-08-31 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-01 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-02 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-03 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-04 | $54.90 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | $55.48 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-06 | $55.48 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-07 | $55.48 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-08 | $55.48 | $1,029,234,649,585 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-09 | $55.86 | $1,031,798,164,041 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-10 | $55.86 | $1,031,798,164,041 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-11 | $55.86 | $1,031,798,164,041 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-12 | $55.93 | $1,031,798,164,041 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-13 | $55.85 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-14 | $55.85 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-15 | $55.85 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-16 | $55.85 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-17 | $55.94 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-18 | $55.94 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-19 | $55.94 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-20 | $55.94 | $1,032,812,717,604 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-21 | $55.42 | $1,023,280,052,671 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-22 | $55.28 | $1,020,623,144,370 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-23 | $55.87 | $1,025,925,023,748 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-24 | $56.15 | $1,032,340,508,976 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-25 | $56.15 | $1,032,348,638,729 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-26 | $56.13 | $1,031,990,929,568 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-27 | $56.12 | $1,031,774,136,137 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-28 | $56.26 | $1,034,234,741,578 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-29 | $56.26 | $1,034,299,779,608 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-09-30 | $56.27 | $1,034,852,602,856 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-01 | $56.34 | $1,035,990,768,369 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-02 | $56.33 | $1,035,893,211,325 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-03 | $56.30 | $1,035,346,891,879 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-04 | $56.29 | $1,035,118,174,809 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-05 | $56.27 | $1,034,778,273,680 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-06 | $56.28 | $1,034,912,221,050 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-07 | $56.28 | $1,034,912,221,050 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-08 | $56.28 | $1,034,912,221,050 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-09 | $56.28 | $1,034,912,221,050 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-10 | $56.70 | $1,037,760,705,940 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-11 | $56.70 | $1,037,760,705,940 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-12 | $56.71 | $1,038,040,052,259 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-13 | $56.71 | $1,037,912,879,032 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-14 | $57.04 | $1,040,343,023,258 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-15 | $56.96 | $1,039,111,319,205 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-16 | $57.83 | $1,040,988,245,272 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-17 | $57.83 | $1,040,988,245,272 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-18 | $57.83 | $1,040,988,245,272 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-19 | $57.83 | $1,040,988,245,272 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-20 | $57.99 | $1,041,981,210,971 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-21 | $57.99 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-22 | $57.52 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-23 | $57.52 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-24 | $57.52 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-25 | $57.52 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-26 | $57.52 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-27 | $57.52 | $1,041,981,233,297 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-28 | $58.06 | $1,043,574,088,212 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-29 | $58.06 | $1,043,574,088,212 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-30 | $62.99 | $1,078,862,429,919 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-10-31 | $64.18 | $1,084,739,344,681 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-11-01 | $64.61 | $1,090,176,580,000 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-11-02 | $64.61 | $1,090,176,580,000 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-11-03 | $64.30 | $1,095,314,088,301 | 1 / 9 |
| 2026-11-04 | $65.05 | $1,100,493,135,019 | 1 / 9 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.