ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. (ASX)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$37.51+0.21%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ASX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers
Why it matters: High unemployment claims can show economic problems. This might hurt ASE's business.
Worry ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims are more than 250,000 on August 20.
Less concerning ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims are less than 200,000 on August 20.
Why it matters: Higher inflation could lead to increased costs for ASE and affect profit margins.
Worry ifCPI reported above 3% on September 11, 2026.
Less concerning ifCPI reported at or below 3%.
Why it matters: Weak GDP growth could signal a slowdown in demand for technology products. This may impact ASE's revenue.
Worry ifGDP growth reported below 2% in the second estimate on August 26, 2026.
Less concerning ifGDP growth reported at or above 2% in the second estimate.
Why it matters: ASE Technology's growth is tied to the overall sector. A rebound could signal better performance for ASE.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to over 6% each year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$278 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $507 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,036 loss on $10,000 · 30.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A higher CPI may mean inflation is rising. This can change ASE's costs and prices.
Worry ifConsumer Price Index rises above 3% year over year.
Less concerning ifConsumer Price Index stays below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show economic problems. This could hurt ASE's business.
Worry ifUnemployment claims were more than 300,000 on September 3 and September 10, 2026.
Less concerning ifUnemployment claims were at or below 300,000.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a stronger market position for ASE Technology.
Supportive ifASE Technology reports revenue growth above 4% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Key economic reports can impact demand for ASE's products. Weak demand may hurt revenue.
Worry ifNegative trends in the Consumer Price Index or Retail Sales report.
Less concerning ifPositive trends in the Consumer Price Index or Retail Sales report.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential slowdown in the IT sector. This could impact ASE's performance and outlook.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median for the last 12 months.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median for the last 12 months.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key for ASE. A drop signals weakening demand in the sector.
Worry ifASE's revenue growth falls below the median growth rate for the sector.
Less concerning ifASE's revenue growth remains above the median growth rate for the sector.
Why it matters: This index affects costs and pricing power. Changes could impact ASE's margins.
Watch forThe Producer Price Index is up. This means costs are rising.
Also watch forThe Producer Price Index is down. This means costs are falling.
Why it matters: This index measures inflation. It can influence consumer spending and demand for ASE's products.
Watch forThe Consumer Price Index is rising. This shows stronger inflation and possible demand.
Also watch forThe Consumer Price Index is falling. This shows weaker inflation and possible demand.