Anterix, Inc. (ATEX)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$68.52-11.88%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 179.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 40.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 139.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
ATEX — officer change
Dated 2026-08-06
The filing describes a stock plan amendment, not a management change.
Why it matters: Management set an $80 million goal for contracted proceeds in fiscal 2027. More customer cash would show progress toward that goal.
Supportive ifBy the fiscal 2027 year-end update, contracted proceeds collected reach at least $80 million.
Worry ifThe year-end update shows less than $80 million collected, or customer payments are delayed.
Why it matters: First-quarter spectrum revenue was $1.958 million. The next results will show whether revenue is keeping pace with the full-year guide.
Watch forThe November 10 results keep the $25.3 million FY2027 revenue guide and show quarterly revenue near or above $1.958 million.
Also watch forThe company cuts its $25.3 million guide or reports quarterly revenue below $1.958 million.
Why it matters: The report can confirm progress on revenue, customer cash receipts, and cash flow. These measures test the company's stated goals.
Watch forThe November 10 report keeps the $25.3 million revenue guide and shows cash from operations above zero.
Also watch forThe report cuts the revenue guide or shows negative cash from operations.
Why it matters: Cash from operations was $2.045 million in the first quarter. A return to negative cash flow would weaken the recent improvement.
Worry ifQuarterly cash from operations falls below zero in a later FY2027 report.
Less concerning ifQuarterly cash from operations stays above zero in the next report.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$234 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $562 loss on $10,000 · 5.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,239 loss on $10,000 · 32.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.