Avista Corporation (AVA)
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$40.91+1.84%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AVA — CFO transition
Dated 2026-07-02
Senior Vice President of Growth, Energy Policy and External Relations — Jason R. Thackston: Jason R. Thackston is retiring from Avista Corporation to join Whitworth University as its Vice President of Finance and Administration and Chief Financial Officer.
Why it matters: A service deal could add a large new customer and raise future investment needs. A continued pause would leave the request unresolved.
Watch forAvista resumes work on the 500 MW request. It reports a signed service agreement or a clear path to approval.
Also watch forAvista keeps the request on hold, or the developer withdraws it without a new large-load deal.
Why it matters: The plan sets out work to lower fire risk. Spending and completed work will show whether the effort is on track.
Watch forAvista reports wildfire work is on track. It reports 2026 spending near $45 million in capital and $20 million in operating costs.
Also watch forAvista reports wildfire work is behind plan, or spending far above those amounts without more work or risk controls.
Why it matters: This checks whether utility results meet the range management has confirmed. A result below the range would weaken that case.
Watch forFull-year 2026 non-GAAP utility earnings per share land between $2.52 and $2.72.
Also watch forFull-year 2026 non-GAAP utility earnings per share fall below $2.52.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,826 loss on $10,000 · 18.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.