Avient (AVNT)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
$45.32-5.31%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AVNT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-09
CEO — Michael J. Frank: The filing announces the appointment of an external candidate as CEO and Director, succeeding the previous CEO who is transitioning to an advisory role.
Why it matters: Frank became CEO on Oct. 9. His first report can show whether he keeps the current plan or changes its targets.
Watch forAt a results call, Frank keeps the $3.10 to $3.25 EPS guide and names clear steps to grow sales or margins.
Also watch forFrank lowers the EPS guide or names a change that puts the current sales or margin goals at risk.
Why it matters: Avient said Q2 margin reached a record 18.3%. A drop would test whether cost savings can last.
Watch forA later quarter’s adjusted EBITDA margin is at least 18.3%.
Also watch forA later quarter’s adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 17.7%, the Q1 2026 level.
Why it matters: Avient reaffirmed its Q3 and full-year outlook on Oct. 9. The Nov. 4 report tests whether strong growth continues.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EPS is above $0.96, the prior-year result, and Avient keeps its 2026 guidance.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted EPS is below $0.96, or Avient cuts its 2026 guidance.
Why it matters: The current guide is $3.10 to $3.25. A result in that range would show whether the raised target held.
Watch forFull-year adjusted EPS is at least $3.10, the bottom of the raised guide.
Also watch forFull-year adjusted EPS is below $3.10, or Avient lowers its guide before year-end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $325 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,568 loss on $10,000 · 25.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Avient repaid $50 million in Q2 and set a $100 million to $150 million goal for 2026. The year-end figure tests that plan.
Supportive ifAvient reports at least $100 million of total debt repayment in 2026.
Worry ifAvient reports less than $100 million of total debt repayment in 2026.