AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.43-1.03%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVPT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 69 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AVPT — debt issuance
Dated 2025-09-16
Other Events Underwriting Agreement On September 16, 2025, AvePoint, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “ Underwriting Agreement ”) with Jefferies LLC, Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC., Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited and UBS Securities, LLC as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the “ Underwriters ”), and certain selling securityholders named in Schedule II thereto (the “ Selling Securityholders ”), relating to the und…
Why it matters: This rate shows how well the company keeps and grows money from current customers.
Worry ifDollar-based net retention rate remains at or above 110%.
Less concerning ifThe dollar-based net retention rate is below 110%.
Why it matters: This report will give details on revenue and growth. It will affect investor feelings.
Watch forThe earnings report shows good results. It exceeded revenue and growth expectations.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows poor results. It missed revenue and growth targets.
Why it matters: A second earnings beat would show strong performance and build confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 earnings exceed the guidance midpoint of $121.3 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings fall below the guidance midpoint.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential slowdown in AvePoint's business. This could affect investor confidence.
Worry ifAvePoint's revenue growth falls below the sector median growth rate.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above the sector median growth rate.
Why it matters: This number is key for checking the company's profit and how well it operates.
Worry ifQ3 2026 non-GAAP operating income meets or exceeds $21 million.
Less concerning ifIn Q3 2026, non-GAAP operating income is less than $21 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this goal shows the company can grow its steady revenue. This growth is important for stability.
Supportive ifARR reaches $522.1 million to $528.1 million, reflecting 26% growth.
Worry ifARR growth falls below 26% year-over-year.
Why it matters: If the sector grows faster, it can boost AvePoint's performance and outlook.
Watch forSector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is close to 10% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: This growth rate is a key target for the company. Falling below it may signal weakening demand.
Worry ifQ3 2026 total revenue growth at or above 18% year-over-year.
Less concerning ifIn Q3 2026, total revenue growth is less than 18% compared to last year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $465 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,588 loss on $10,000 · 45.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.