Avnet (AVT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyTechnology DistributorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$76.63-10.56%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyTechnology DistributorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -47.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AVT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-15
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 13, 2026, Avnet, Inc. (the “Company”) and Avnet Holding Europe BV (“Avnet Europe”) entered into Amendment No. 3 to the Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (“the Amendment”), which amends the Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated January 17, 2025 (as amended from time to time, including by the Amendment, the “Credit Agreement”), among the Company, Avnet Europe, Bank of America, N.A., as the administrative agent, and th…
Why it matters: Avnet guided to $9.00 billion to $9.30 billion in sales. Sales at or above the midpoint would extend its recent growth run.
Supportive ifQ1 FY2027 sales are at or above $9.15 billion, with growth across all EC regions and Farnell.
Worry ifQ1 FY2027 sales are below $9.00 billion, or one or more named segments report a sales decline.
Why it matters: Inventory days fell to 71 in Q4, after reaching 77 in Q3. A rise above 80 would reverse that progress.
Worry ifReported inventory days rise above 80 in a quarter.
Less concerning ifInventory days stay at or below 71 for another quarter.
Why it matters: Avnet issued $550 million of notes in August to repay debt. A new borrowing filing would add to the recent debt changes.
Worry ifAn 8-K or company filing reports new debt, a larger credit balance, or higher borrowing costs.
Less concerning ifNo new debt is disclosed, and a filing shows the August note proceeds paid down the named credit lines.
Why it matters: Avnet's Q1 adjusted EPS range is $2.80 to $2.90. A result near or above the midpoint would support its recent profit growth.
Supportive ifQ1 adjusted diluted EPS is at or above $2.85.
Worry ifQ1 adjusted diluted EPS is below $2.80.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $340 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,988 loss on $10,000 · 19.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.