American States Water Company (AWR)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-04
$88.84+0.26%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AWR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 55.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 49.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AWR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 4, 2026 , American States Water Company (NYSE:AWR) released earnings for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporate…
Why it matters: The report can show whether Q2's 25.3% EPS growth continued. It can also update the 2026 service earnings range and investment plan.
Watch forQ3 diluted EPS is above $0.87, the Q3 2025 comparison level.
Also watch forQ3 diluted EPS is below $0.87.
Why it matters: This segment's earnings rose with more construction work and management fees. The full-year range tests whether that growth holds.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 contracted-services EPS is at least $0.63 and no more than $0.67.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 EPS from contracted services is below $0.63.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$83 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $196 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,088 loss on $10,000 · 10.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.