Axalta (AXTA)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$35.78-0.53%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AXTA
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within materials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks AXTA against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=2582).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Finalize the all-stock merger with Akzo Nobel to create a premier global coatings company with significant value creation opportunities.
Stated as a priority in 4 quarters including 2026-Q2, 2026-Q1, 2025-Q4, and a recent 8-K in 2026-08. Net sales grew from $1.305B in 2025-Q2 to $1.35B in 2026-Q2 (+3%). The merger with Akzo Nobel is on track with shareholder approval secured and expected closing late 2026 to early 2027, delivering on management's stated timeline.
“CEO: 'We look forward to Axalta's Special General Meeting on August 5 to approve the compelling merger of equals with AkzoNobel.'”
“CEO: 'We are progressing through various workstreams associated with the proposed merger of equals with AkzoNobel as planned and are on track with the stated timeline.'”
“Announced merger of equals with AkzoNobel, creating a premier global coatings company.”
Continue disciplined capital expenditure management targeting $180 million to $200 million for fiscal year 2026.
Management has reiterated the capital expenditure guidance of $180 million to $200 million for fiscal year 2026 in 4 quarters from 2025-Q3 through 2026-Q2. This consistent guidance reflects disciplined capital allocation. Actual capital expenditures were $196 million in 2025, indicating management is maintaining the targeted range, delivering on this priority.
“Capital Expenditures $180 - $200 for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
Achieve free cash flow exceeding $500 million for the full fiscal year 2026 through operational efficiency and cash generation.
Management has stated the free cash flow target above $500 million for fiscal 2026 in 4 quarters from 2025-Q3 through 2026-Q2. Free cash flow was $107 million in 2026-Q2, a 6% increase year over year, showing progress toward the annual target. The trajectory is delivering but full year results remain to be seen.
“Free Cash Flow >$500 million for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
Maintain strong operational execution with cost discipline to support margins and profitability amid macroeconomic challenges.
Management emphasized operational efficiency and cost discipline in 3 quarters from 2025-Q4 through 2026-Q2. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 22.7% in 2026-Q2 (+30 bps YoY), showing delivery of cost discipline. However, margin was down in 2026-Q1 at 20.6%, indicating some variability. Overall, the trajectory shows sustained focus with mixed margin results.
Increase net sales and adjusted EBITDA margin in the Mobility Coatings segment through volume growth and price mix improvements.
Management stated growth in Mobility Coatings segment profitability in 3 quarters from 2025-Q4 through 2026-Q2. Net sales increased from $452 million in 2026-Q1 to $474 million in 2026-Q2 (+5%). Adjusted EBITDA margin was 18.4% in 2026-Q2, reflecting stable profitability. The trajectory shows delivering growth and profitability in this segment.
“Mobility Coatings achieved record quarterly net sales of $474 million, up 1% year over year.”
Over the trailing year it converted 1.36x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=1862).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated stable grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=709).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Capital Expenditures $180 - $200 for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
“Capital Expenditures $180 - $200 for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
“Capital Expenditures $180 - $200 for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
“Free Cash Flow >$500 million for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
“Free Cash Flow >$500 million for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
“Free Cash Flow >$500 million for 2026 fiscal year guidance.”
“CEO: 'Our team continues to drive operational excellence that underpins our consistent financial performance.'”
“CEO: 'We are deploying pricing strategies and strong cost discipline to drive sustained financial performance.'”
“Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 50 basis points year over year to 21.5%, driven by operational excellence and cost management.”
“Mobility Coatings achieved record first quarter net sales of $452 million, an increase of 3% year over year.”
“Mobility Coatings achieved Adjusted EBITDA of $92 million, a fourth quarter record with margin of 19.4%.”