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BBY

Best Buy

NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-05-08

$59.40+1.47%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, BBY has a composite score of 25.7 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The score reflects medium confidence at 71.2, with strengths in quality (73.4) and valuation (87.4, labeled as inexpensive). However, the sector score is low at 12.3, and the overall risk is elevated at 56.9. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +26as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 10% of consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.42
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
219251198721
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$59.40
TTM EPS
$3.74
Earnings yield
6.3%
P/E (TTM)
15.9

Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,069
TTM CFO ($M)
1,962
CFO/NI
1.84
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 20% activity in consumer discretionary cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital unfriendlyBottom 30% — net capital-unfriendly direction
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish20 analysts, 29% Buyfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.33 → $1.32 (-0.6% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 20 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 29% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 6.8% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −30%, typical day ±1.4%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 32%; 252d 35%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −30%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLY) 0.05 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 42/100, drawdown 40/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-4.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite63.8 / 100
Capital allocation51
Earnings discipline79
Margin discipline71
Balance sheet69
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction57
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
88higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
9.1x
EV/EBITDA
4.5x
FCF yield
10.1%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
BBY
Best Buy
+26inexpensiveelevated
AMZN
Amazon
+16fullmoderate
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
+0.4expensiveelevated
HD
Home Depot (The)
+14fullmoderate
CVNA
Carvana
+14high
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.4%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-3.2%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-29.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-03)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-03)-8.0 pts
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2217d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 22, 2026, Best Buy Co., Inc. (“Best Buy” or the “registrant”) announced a succession plan for Corie Barry’s planned departure from the position of Chief Executive Officer, and as a member of the registrant’s Board of Directors (the “Board”), effective at the end of the day on October 31, 2026. (c), (d) Best Buy announced that Jason Bon…

    executive changeneutralscore 54
  2. 2026-03-032mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 3, 2026 , Best Buy Co., Inc. (“Best Buy” or the “registrant”) issued a news release announcing its results of operations for the fourth quarter ended January 31, 2026. The registrant is scheduled to conduct an earnings conference call at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (7:00 a.m. Central Time) today, March 3, 2026 . The earnings conference call is expected to be available live on the registrant’s website at https://investors.bestbuy.com. The news…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 14
  3. 2025-12-015mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (d) On November 26, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Best Buy Co., Inc. ("Best Buy" or the "registrant") elected A. Dylan Jadeja as a director, effective immediately. Mr. Jadeja is currently the Chief Executive Officer of Riot Games, Inc. (“Riot”), a video game developer and publisher. Prior to his appointment as CEO in 2023, Mr. Jadej…

    executive changeneutralscore 2
  4. 2025-12-104mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 5, 2025, the Board appointed Mr. Jadeja to its Compensation and Human Resources Committee and its Finance and Investment Policy Committee. Mr. Jadeja’s committee appointments are effective as of March 2, 2026. 2 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to…

    executive changeneutralscore 2
  5. 2025-11-255mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 25, 2025 , Best Buy Co., Inc. (“Best Buy” or the “registrant”) issued a news release announcing its results of operations for the third quarter ended November 1, 2025. The registrant is scheduled to conduct an earnings conference call at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (7:00 a.m. Central Time) today, November 25, 2025 . The earnings conference call is expected to be available live on the registrant’s website at https://investors.bestbuy.com. T…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 1
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-18 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.